Rayo Vallecano vs. Drita: Vallecas' Home Fortress, 11 Undefeated in 12 Home Games vs. 9 Undefeated in 11 Away Games

In the UEFA Europa Conference League Group Stage Round 6, Rayo Vallecano faces Drita at the Estadio de Vallecas on December 18th. Rayo is performing well with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, while Drita is solid with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.

Rayo Vallecano

• ●5 Games: 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 Goals Scored / 7 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +3
• ●Average per Game: 2 Goals Scored / 1.4 Goals Conceded

Drita

• ●5 Games: 2 Wins, 2 Draws, 1 Loss
• ●Goals For/Against: 4 Goals Scored / 5 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -1
• ●Average per Game: 0.8 Goals Scored / 1 Goal Conceded

Rayo is overwhelming in attack. Drita plays low-scoring football.

Rayo Vallecano's Possession Football

They have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 6 games. They have only scored 0.83 goals per game and conceded 1 goal.

Possession: 59.33% Shots: 13.83 (4 shots on target)

Recent 3 Home Games:

• ●1 Win, 2 Draws
• ●Average per Game: 1.33 Goals Scored
• ●Shots: 20.33 (Overwhelming!)

Long-Term Home Record:

• ●Recent 12 Home Games Overall: 11 Undefeated Games (92%)
• ●Recent 15 Home Games: 8 Draws (53%)
• ●Recent 15 Home Games: 6 Clean Sheets (40%)

Conference League:

• ●Recent 7 Games: 5 Wins (71%)
• ●Recent 7 Games: 6 Undefeated Games (86%)

However, in all competitions:

• ●Recent 8 Games: 4 Draws (50%)
• ●Recent 7 Games: 6 Winless Games (86%)

Drita's Solid Defense

They have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 6 games. They have scored 1.33 goals per game and conceded 1.33 goals.

Shots: 7 (Low) Shots on Target: 2.67 Possession: 43.67%

Although they are on a 3-game winless streak, their long-term record is good:

• ●Recent 16 Games Overall: 13 Undefeated Games (81%)
• ●Recent 11 Away Games Overall: 9 Undefeated Games (82%)
• ●Recent 7 Away Games: 3 Clean Sheets (43%)

Conference League:

• ●Recent 14 Games: 7 Wins (50%)
• ●Recent 7 Games: 6 Undefeated Games (86%)

Rayo Vallecano's 4-2-3-1

Íñigo Pérez's team dominates possession. Camello is responsible for scoring at the forefront, and Palazón and García attack from the flanks.

Valentín and López protect the midfield, and Lejeune and Felipe lead the defense. Their weapon is the pressure of taking 20.33 shots per game at home.

Drita's 4-2-3-1

Fahrudin Mezini's team is organized. Manaj is responsible for finishing at the forefront, and Abazaj and Xheka aim for counterattacks from the flanks.

Ejzeraj and Limaj protect the midfield, and Bejtullai and Felumbi lead the defense. Their weapon is a solid defense, although their possession is low (43.67%).

Injured Player: Juan Camilo Mesa (Central Defender)

1. Rayo's Home Attack

They are taking 20.33 shots per game at home. They are scoring 2 goals per game in the Conference League. Can they break through Drita's solid defense?

2. Drita's Away Undefeated Streak

They are undefeated in 9 of their 11 away games. They are undefeated in 6 of their last 7 Conference League games. Can they withstand Rayo's home advantage?

3. Possession vs. Organization

Rayo dominates the game with 59.33% possession, and Drita withstands it organizationally with 43.67%. Which style will win?

analysis Probability:

• ●Rayo Win: 50%
• ●Predicted Score: 1-0

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Rayo. Their home record and Conference League attack are decisive factors. But it's a really close game because of Drita's away undefeated streak.

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Batalla
• ●DF: Balliu, Lejeune, Felipe, Chavarría
• ●MF: Valentín, López
• ●AM: Pérez, Palazón, García
• ●FW: Camello

Drita (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Maloku
• ●DF: Krasniqi, Bejtullai, Felumbi, Obuka
• ●MF: Ejzeraj, Limaj
• ●AM: Davikai, Abazaj, Xheka
• ●FW: Manaj

⚠️ Missing Player: Juan Camilo Mesa (Central Defender)

A really close game is expected. Rayo is undefeated in 11 of their 12 home games, but 4 of their last 8 games have been draws. Drita is undefeated in 9 of their 11 away games.

The predicted score is a 1-0 Rayo victory. This is a scenario where Rayo dominates possession at home and decides the game with one goal. Camello is expected to score the winning goal.

It's likely to be a low-scoring game. Drita is really solid in the Conference League, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1 goal per game. Rayo is also recording a 40% clean sheet rate at home.

Rayo takes 20.33 shots per game at home, but they have failed to win 6 of their last 7 games in all competitions. They are not converting their chances into goals. If Drita defends organizationally, a draw is possible.

Drita is on a 3-game winless streak, but their long-term record is really good. They are especially strong away from home. They can withstand Rayo's possession football.

The possibility of a draw is also high. Rayo has drawn 8 of their last 15 home games. Drita is also a team that withstands pressure away from home.

If Rayo wins, they can almost confirm their place in the round of 16 with 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the Conference League. If Drita secures just a draw, they can increase their chances of advancing from the group stage.