Augsburg vs Union Berlin: The Power of a Home Clean Sheet

The 15th and 9th place teams meet. Both are having seasons that haven't lived up to expectations. Augsburg is holding on just above the relegation zone, while Union Berlin is aiming to rise from mid-table. Can Augsburg, who have recorded three consecutive clean sheets at home, create a turning point in this match on January 15th at the WWK Arena?

Augsburg (15th)

• ●Season Record: 4 wins (16 games) / Goals Against: 32 goals / Goal Difference: -15
• ●Average Goals Against: 2 goals per game
• ●Last 6 Games: 2 wins 1 draw 3 losses
• ●Average Goals Scored: 0.5 goals (Drought!) / Average Goals Against: 1.33 goals
• ●Recent 3 Home Games: Unbeaten (2 wins 1 draw)
• ●Recent 3 Home Games Clean Sheets: 3 times (100%!)
• ●Recent 12 Games: 7 losses (58%)
• ●Recent 16 Games: 81% Winless
• ●Recent 21 Bundesliga Games: 17 Winless Games (81%)
• ●Recent 22 Home Games Clean Sheets: 9 times (41%)

Augsburg is struggling overall. They haven't won 81% of their last 21 games. But it's different at home! They are unbeaten in their last 3 home games, and surprisingly, they have kept a clean sheet in all 3 games. They are doing well defensively at home. The problem is their scoring ability. They are only scoring 0.5 goals per game.

Union Berlin (9th)

• ●Season Record: 6 wins 4 draws 6 losses (16 games) / Goal Difference: -3
• ●Goals Scored: 1.38 goals per game
• ●Last 6 Games: 2 wins 1 draw 3 losses
• ●Average Goals Scored: 1.67 goals / Average Goals Against: 1.83 goals
• ●Recent 3 Games: Unbeaten!
• ●Recent 16 Away Games: 50% Win Rate (8 wins)
• ●Recent 7 Bundesliga Home Games: 86% Unbeaten

Union Berlin has been rebounding recently. They are on a 3-game unbeaten streak. Their attacking power has also come alive, scoring 1.67 goals per game. They have also won half of their 16 away games. But their defense is shaky. They are conceding 1.83 goals per game.

Looking at the recent 3 games at WWK Arena:

• ●Augsburg: 2 wins / Union Berlin: 1 win

Augsburg has the upper hand against Union at home. They have won 2 out of 3 games. There is a clear home advantage in this matchup.

Augsburg's Home Resistance

Manager Manuel Baum is continuing a good run at home. They are likely to line up in a 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 formation.

Claude-Maurice and Lieder play up front, with Kade supporting. Masengo and Fellhauer are in charge of the midfield, and Schloterbeck and Česić form the back three.

A 3-game clean sheet streak at home is a great record. It means the defensive organization is good. They need to block Union's attack and aim for a set-piece goal.

The absence of Jakic, Volf, Mačima, Hauvelööw, and Keitel is a big loss. Squad depth is a concern.

Union Berlin's Away Challenge

Union, under manager Steffen Baumgart, are confident after a 3-game unbeaten streak. They are likely to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Behrens plays as a lone striker, with Ansa and Jeong Woo-yeong supporting from the flanks. Khedira and Kemlein are in charge of the midfield, and Leite and Doekhi form the back three.

They are a team that scores 1.67 goals per game. Although Augsburg defends well at home, Union's attacking power can score at least one goal.

The absence of Bogdanov, Ilić, Skov, and Skarke is disappointing, but the core lineup can be maintained.

1. Augsburg's Home Clean Sheet Extension

This is key. Augsburg has recorded clean sheets in 3 consecutive home games. It won't be easy as Union scores 1.67 goals per game, but if they can create a 4th consecutive clean sheet, they can at least secure a draw.

2. Augsburg's Goal Drought

Augsburg is only scoring 0.5 goals per game. Union concedes 1.83 goals per game, but if the scoring power is too weak, it's difficult to win. Claude-Maurice and Lieder need to take their chances.

3. Jeong Woo-yeong's Performance

Jeong Woo-yeong is one of the key players in Union's attack. He needs to trouble the Augsburg defense with creative plays on the flanks. This is also a game of interest to Korean fans.

Augsburg Home Trends

• ●Recent 3 Home Games: Unbeaten (2 wins 1 draw)
• ●Recent 3 Home Games Clean Sheets: 100% (3 times)
• ●But Recent 16 Games: 81% Winless
• ●Recent 21 Bundesliga Games: 81% Winless
• ●Average Goals Scored: 0.5 goals
• ●vs Union Home Recent 3 Games: 2 wins 1 loss

Union Berlin Trends

• ●Recent 3 Games: Unbeaten
• ●Recent 16 Away Games: 50% Win Rate (8 wins)
• ●Recent 7 Bundesliga Home Games: 86% Unbeaten
• ●Average Goals Scored: 1.67 goals
• ●Average Goals Against: 1.83 goals

Augsburg defends well at home and has won 2 games against Union. But Union is in better form overall. They are on a 3-game unbeaten streak and have a 50% win rate away from home.

Augsburg Missing

• ●Jakic, Volf, Mačima, Hauvelööw, Keitel

Union Berlin Missing

• ●Bogdanov, Ilić, Skov, Skarke

Key players are missing from both teams. Augsburg are missing 5 players, so squad depth is more of a concern.

Augsburg (3-4-3)

• ●GK: Dahmen
• ●DF: Schloterbeck, Banks, Česić
• ●MF: Masengo, Fellhauer, Giannoulis, Pedersen
• ●FW: Claude-Maurice, Kade, Lieder

Union Berlin (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Rønnow
• ●DF: Leite, Doekhi, Knoche
• ●MF: Kemlein, Trimmel, Khedira, Köhn
• ●CAM: Behrens, Ansa
• ●FW: Jeong Woo-yeong

Predicted Score: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin to win. The probability is 35%.

A low-scoring battle is expected. Augsburg defends well at home, and Union's defense is also shaky. There is a high chance that the first half will be a 0-0 stalemate.

Union is likely to score a goal in the second half. Jeong Woo-yeong or Behrens can play a decisive role in the counterattack. Augsburg is a team that only scores 0.5 goals per game, so it seems difficult to score an equalizer.

Under 2.5 goals seems almost certain. Augsburg has 3 consecutive clean sheets at home, and their scoring power is at rock bottom. It is likely to be a boring defensive battle rather than an exciting goal fest.

For Augsburg fans, it's worth hoping for an extension of their home clean sheet streak. For Union fans, it's a good opportunity to continue their 3-game unbeaten run. Jeong Woo-yeong's performance is also anticipated!

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