Blackburn Rovers vs Millwall: Ewood Park Clash, 14 Winless in 17 Home Games vs 10 Undefeated in 12 Away Games

Championship Round 23, Blackburn Rovers face Millwall at Ewood Park on December 20th. 20th-placed Blackburn (20 points) vs 4th-placed Millwall (37 points). Blackburn struggles at home, while Millwall is dominant away.

Millwall (4th)

• ●21 games: 10 wins 7 draws 4 losses
• ●Points: 37 points
• ●Overall last 30 games: 53% win rate (16 wins)

Blackburn Rovers (20th)

• ●20 games: 6 wins 2 draws 12 losses
• ●Points: 20 points

Millwall is overwhelmingly superior in both standings and points.

Blackburn Rovers' 5 Consecutive Winless Games

Currently on a 5-game winless streak. It's a really tough time.

Last 6 league games: 1 win 3 draws 2 losses

Last 3 home games:

• ●Average per game: 0.67 goals scored / 1 goal conceded

Long-term home record:

• ●Last 17 home games: 14 winless games (82%)

Currently on a 5-game overall winless streak

Millwall's Away Undefeated Streak

Scoring 1.33 goals and conceding 1.5 goals per game in the last 6 games.

Shots: 14.5 (5 shots on target)

Away form is really strong:

• ●Last 12 away games overall: 83% undefeated (10 games)
• ●Last 12 away games: 10 undefeated games

Recent away game:

• ●50% draws

Most recent game (April 18, 2025):

• ●4-1 Blackburn win

Hyam, Ivanović, Tronstad (2 goals), and Brittain scored the goals.

Interesting statistics:

• ●Shots: Blackburn 19 vs Millwall 14
• ●Shots on target: Blackburn 6 vs Millwall 7
• ●Possession: Blackburn 61% vs Millwall 39%

Blackburn won overwhelmingly!

Blackburn Rovers' 4-2-3-1

John Eustace's team is on a 5-game winless streak. Ohashi is struggling in the front line, but only scoring 0.67 goals per game at home.

Tronstad and Gardner-Hickman protect the midfield, while Miller and McFadzean lead the defense. They have failed to win 14 out of 17 home games.

Injured: Carter, Cantwell

Millwall's 4-2-3-1

Alex Neil's team is stable away. Ivanović is in charge of finishing in the front line, and Emakhu and Azez attack from the flanks.

De Norre and Kelly dominate the midfield, while Cooper and Taylor lead the defense. They are really strong with 10 undefeated games in 12 away games.

Injured: McNamara, Venda, Smallbone, Jensen

1. Blackburn's Home Struggles

They have failed to win 14 out of 17 home games. They are on a 5-game winless streak. It seems really difficult to recover against Millwall.

2. Millwall's Away Undefeated Streak

They are undefeated in 10 out of 12 away games. Can they get points even at Blackburn's home?

3. Past Record vs Current Form

Blackburn won 4-1 in the past, but the current form is the opposite. Millwall is much better.

analysis Probability:

• ●Millwall Win: 48%
• ●Predicted Score: 1-0

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Millwall. Millwall's away undefeated streak and Blackburn's home struggles are decisive factors.

Blackburn Rovers (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Pears
• ●DF: Alabi, Miller, McFadzean, Pickering
• ●MF: Tronstad, Gardner-Hickman
• ●AM: Morishita, Hedges, Dolan
• ●FW: Ohashi

⚠️ Out: Hayden Carter, Todd Cantwell

Millwall (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Crocombe
• ●DF: Esse, Cooper, Taylor, Wallace
• ●MF: De Norre, Kelly
• ●AM: Azez, Flemming, Emakhu
• ●FW: Ivanović

⚠️ Out: Danny McNamara, Matija Šarkić, Joe Bryan, Tom Bradshaw

A narrow victory for Millwall is expected. They are undefeated in 10 out of 12 away games, and Blackburn have failed to win 14 out of 17 home games. Blackburn is on a 5-game winless streak.

The predicted score is 1-0 Millwall win. It is a scenario where Millwall defends organizationally away and decides the match with one goal. A low-scoring game is expected.

Blackburn is really in crisis. They are close to the relegation zone in 20th place. They have failed to win 14 out of 17 home games and are on a 5-game winless streak. They are only scoring 0.67 goals per game at home.

Millwall is aiming for the promotion playoffs in 4th place. They are really stable with 10 undefeated games in 12 away games. They can get points even at Blackburn's home.

In the past, Blackburn won overwhelmingly 4-1, but the current form is completely the opposite. Millwall is in much better flow, and Blackburn is struggling.

A low-scoring game is expected. Blackburn scores 0.67 goals and concedes 1 goal per game at home, and Millwall scores 1.33 goals per game in the last 6 games. I don't think many goals will be scored.

Millwall's away strategy will be effective. They will hold on with a solid defense and decide the match with one goal. It is definitely possible against Blackburn's weak attack.

Blackburn is really desperate. They have to get points at home, even from the 20th relegation zone. But it will be really difficult to break Millwall's away undefeated streak.