Bologna vs Cremonese: Unbeaten in 11, Solidifying European Hopes at the Dall'Ara

In Serie A Round 13, Bologna hosts Cremonese at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on December 1st. Bologna in 5th place are on an 11-game unbeaten streak, while Cremonese in 11th are on an 11-game winless run. The two teams are on completely opposite trajectories. Can Bologna continue their pursuit of European qualification at home?

Bologna (5th)

• ●12 Games: 7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 21 goals scored / 8 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +13
• ●Points: 24 points
• ●Average Per Game: 1.75 goals scored / 0.67 goals conceded

Cremonese (11th)

• ●12 Games: 3 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 13 goals scored / 16 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -3
• ●Points: 14 points
• ●Average Per Game: 1.08 goals scored / 1.33 goals conceded

Bologna's defense is really impressive. They've only conceded 8 goals in 12 games. Their 0.67 goals conceded per game is among the best in the league. On the other hand, Cremonese lack firepower. It's hard to win with just 1.08 goals per game.

Bologna's Rock-Solid Defense

They've recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses in their last 6 games. They're on an unbeaten run.

Average Per Game:

• ●Goals Scored: 1.67 goals
• ●Goals Conceded: 0.5 goals
• ●Shots: 12.67 shots (3.83 shots on target)
• ●Possession: 55.67%

Their defense is even stronger at home:

• ●Last 3 Home Games: 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses
• ●Goals Conceded: 0 goals (3 consecutive clean sheets!)
• ●Goals Scored: 0.67 goals per game (The scoring ability is a bit disappointing)

Their long-term record is overwhelming:

• ●Last 11 Games Overall: 100% Unbeaten
• ●Last 15 Games Overall: 87% Unbeaten
• ●Last 12 League Games: 83% Unbeaten
• ●Last 20 Home League Games: 90% Unbeaten
• ●Last 40 Home League Games: 63% Win Rate
• ●Last 20 Home League Games: 50% Clean Sheets

It's really hard to beat Bologna at the Dall'Ara.

Cremonese's Endless Slide

They've recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 6 games. They're scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.33 goals per game.

Even more shocking is their winless streak:

• ●Last 11 Games Overall: 100% Winless (11 games in a row!)
• ●Last 3 Games: On a losing streak
• ●Last 8 Games: 50% Loss Rate (4 losses)
• ●Last 10 Games: 50% Draw Rate (5 games)

It seems like they've forgotten how to win. There are many draws, but no wins.

The most recent game at the Dall'Ara:

• ●Ended in a draw

Bologna dominated the game, but Cremonese defended resiliently. They didn't give up space with their organized defense. But now, Bologna is much stronger than they were then.

Bologna's 4-2-3-1

Coach Andrade Davis Nicolas plays stable football. Lucumi and Hege lead the defense, and Ferguson and Fovega dominate the midfield.

Orsolini attacks from the flanks, and Castro finishes at the forefront. They dominate the game with 55.67% possession and create chances.

There are injuries. Skorupski, Freuler, Immobile, and Cambiaghi are out. But the squad depth is sufficient.

Cremonese's 3-5-2

Coach Davide Nicola prefers a 3-back system. They give up possession and focus on defense. Bardi and Bonazzoli aim for counterattacks at the forefront.

The problem is their scoring ability. They're only scoring 1 goal per game. Even if the defense holds, they can't win if they don't take advantage of opportunities in attack.

Bondo and Collocolo are out due to injury. There are gaps in the midfield.

1. Maintaining Bologna's Clean Sheet

They've kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home games. Can they continue this trend? It seems entirely possible given Cremonese's rock-bottom scoring ability.

2. Cremonese Escaping Their Winless Run

They're winless in 11 consecutive games. It's a really long tunnel. It seems difficult to break this jinx against Bologna.

3. Low-Scoring Game

Bologna is only scoring 0.67 goals per game at home. Cremonese also has 1 goal. Not many goals will be scored. Under 2.5 goals is likely.

analysis Probability:

• ●Bologna Win: 46%
• ●Predicted Score: 2-0
• ●Total Goals: Expected Under 2.5 goals

The algorithm is predicting a Bologna win. Home record, unbeaten streak, and Cremonese's winless streak all favor Bologna. A clean, clean-sheet victory is expected.

Bologna (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Ravaglia
• ●DF: Zortea, Hege, Lucumi, Miranda
• ●MF: Ferguson, Fovega
• ●AM: Orsolini, Odgaard, Dominguez
• ●FW: Castro

⚠️ Absentees: Ukasz Skorupski (muscle injury), Remo Freuler, Ciro Immobile, Niccolò Cambiaghi

Cremonese (3-5-2)

• ●GK: Audero
• ●DF: Terracciano, Vasquez, Bianchetti
• ●MF: Barbieri, Payero, Paye, Valeri, Mussolini
• ●FW: Bardi, Bonazzoli

⚠️ Absentees: Warren Bondo, Michele Collocolo

A comfortable victory for Bologna is expected. They're unbeaten in 11 consecutive home games and often keep clean sheets. Cremonese is winless in 11 consecutive games. It will be difficult to break this trend.

The predicted score is 2-0 for Bologna. The scenario is that Bologna will score first in the first half and finish the game with a sealing goal in the second half. With Cremonese's scoring ability, it is difficult to break through the Bologna defense.

For Cremonese to get points, they need perfect defense like last time. But now Bologna is running towards European qualification. They've become stronger. Even a draw seems difficult.

Bologna can further solidify their European qualification with this win. They will maintain their 5th place and continue their competition for the top spots. We look forward to another clean-sheet victory at the Dall'Ara fortress.