Brentford vs Leeds United: Gtech's Home Strength, 9 Unbeaten in 11 Home Games vs. 7 Winless in 8 Away Games

Premier League Round 16, Brentford hosts Leeds United at the Gtech Community Stadium on December 14th. 14th-placed Brentford (19 points) and 16th-placed Leeds (12 points). Brentford is strong at home, and Leeds is struggling away.

Brentford (14th)

• ●15 Matches: 6 Wins, 1 Draw, 8 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 21 Goals Scored, 24 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -3
• ●Points: 19 Points
• ●Average Per Game: 1.4 Goals Scored / 1.6 Goals Conceded

Leeds United (16th)

• ●15 Matches: 4 Wins, 0 Draws, 11 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 14 Goals Scored, 29 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -15 (Worst!)
• ●Points: 12 Points
• ●Average Per Game: 0.93 Goals Scored / 1.93 Goals Conceded

Leeds' season is really tough. Not even a single draw. Conceding almost 2 goals per game indicates a serious defensive problem.

Brentford's Home Strength

They have recorded 2 wins and 4 losses in their recent 6 games. They are scoring about 1 goal per game and conceding more.

But they are a completely different team at home:

• ●Recent 11 Home League Games: 9 Unbeaten Games (82%)
• ●Recent 10 Home League Games: 4 Games Won by 2 or More Goals (40%)
• ●Recent 5 Home Games Against Leeds: 3 Wins
• ●Recent 6 Home Games Against Leeds: 4 Games Won by 2 or More Goals

Recent 3 Home Games Attacking Stats:

• ●Shots: 15.33 (6.33 on target)
• ●Possession: 45% (Low but efficient)

Leeds United's Away Struggles

They score 1.67 goals per game in their recent 6 games, but concede 2.5 goals. Defense is a real problem.

Their away record is the worst:

• ●Recent 10 Games Overall: 8 Winless Games (80%)
• ●Recent 8 Away Games: 7 Winless Games (88%)

They have high possession away (56.71%), but it doesn't translate into results.

The most recent game (January 22, 2023):

• ●0-0 Draw (Elland Road)

It was a goalless game. A fierce battle focused on defense.

Brentford is dominant at home:

• ●Recent 5 Home Games: 3 Wins
• ●Recent 6 Home Games: 4 Games Won by 2 or More Goals

Brentford's 4-2-3-1

Coach Keith Andrews' team is attacking at home. Thiago is responsible for scoring at the forefront, and Shady and Damsgaard pose a threat from the flanks.

Henderson and Jensen dominate the midfield, and Van den Bergh and Ayer lead the defense. Their attacking power, shooting 15.33 shots per game at home, is a weapon.

Injured: Kayode, Milambo, Carvalho

Leeds United's 3-5-2

Coach Daniel Farke's team is struggling away. Calvert-Lewin and Nmecha aim to score at the forefront, but support is lacking.

Tanaka and Ampadu protect the midfield, and Rodon and Vjol lead the defense. Possession is high (56.71%), but they are conceding 2.5 goals per game.

Injured: None (All players available)

1. Brentford's Home Attacking Power

They are unbeaten in 9 of their 11 home games. In the recent 6 home games against Leeds, they have won 4 games by 2 or more goals. Thiago's performance is crucial.

2. Leeds' Away Defensive Collapse

They are conceding 2.5 goals per game. It will be really difficult to stop Brentford's home attack (15.33 shots).

3. Past Records

Brentford has dominated Leeds at home. They have won 3 of their recent 5 home games, and most were big wins.

analysis Probability:

• ●Brentford Win: 49%
• ●Predicted Score: 3-1

The algorithm is predicting a clear win for Brentford. Home strength, Leeds' away struggles, and past records are decisive factors.

Brentford (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Kelleher
• ●DF: Collins, Van den Bergh, Ayer, Hickey
• ●MF: Henderson, Jensen
• ●AM: Wataara, Damsgaard, Shady
• ●FW: Thiago

⚠️ Out: Michael Kayode, Anthony Milambo, Fabio Carvalho

Leeds United (3-5-2)

• ●GK: Perry
• ●DF: Rodon, Vjol, Struijk
• ●MF: Bogle, Tanaka, Ampadu, Stach, Gudmundsson
• ●FW: Calvert-Lewin, Nmecha

⚠️ Out: None

Brentford's overwhelming victory is expected. They are unbeaten in 9 of their 11 home games, and in the recent 6 home games against Leeds, they have won 4 games by 2 or more goals. Leeds has failed to win 7 of their 8 away games.

The predicted score is 3-1 Brentford's win. Brentford will play aggressively at home and score 3 goals. Leeds will score one consolation goal, but it will be difficult to stop Brentford's home firepower.

Leeds is conceding 2.5 goals per game. Brentford is shooting 15.33 shots per game at home, can Leeds' defense stop this? It will be difficult.

Past records are also favorable to Brentford. They have been really strong against Leeds at home. Thiago and Shady will destroy Leeds' defense.

Leeds has high possession, but it doesn't translate into results. Calvert-Lewin and Nmecha need to score goals, but breaking through Brentford's defense will not be easy.

If Brentford wins, they can move up to mid-table. Leeds can move further away from the relegation zone. It's a really important game.