Burnley vs Fulham: Turf Moor Survival Battle, 6 Losses in a Row vs. Away Struggles

In the Premier League Round 16, Burnley hosts Fulham at Turf Moor on December 13th. 19th-placed Burnley (9 points) and 15th-placed Fulham (18 points). Burnley is on a 6-game losing streak, and Fulham is struggling away from home. Both are in crisis.

Fulham (15th)

• ●15 Games: 5 Wins, 3 Draws, 7 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 20 Goals Scored / 24 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -4
• ●Points: 18 Points
• ●Average per Game: 1.33 Goals Scored / 1.6 Goals Conceded

Burnley (19th)

• ●15 Games: 3 Wins, 0 Draws, 12 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 Goals Scored / 30 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -14 (Worst!)
• ●Points: 9 Points
• ●Average per Game: 0.67 Goals Scored / 2 Goals Conceded

Burnley's season is truly dismal. Not even a single draw. Conceding 2 goals per game is among the worst in the league. Fulham's defense is also unstable.

Burnley's 6-Game Losing Streak

Currently on a 6-game losing streak. It's a truly dire situation.

Average per Game:

• ●Goals Scored: 0.67 Goals
• ●Goals Conceded: 2.17 Goals

It's even worse at home:

• ●Last 3 Home Games: 0 Wins
• ●Goals Scored: 0 Goals!
• ●Goals Conceded: 1.67 Goals

Long-Term Record:

• ●Last 15 Games: 80% Winless (12 Games)

Struggling in the relegation zone.

Fulham's Away Struggles

Recorded 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 games. They scored 1.83 goals and conceded 1.67 goals per game.

Their away record is really bad:

• ●Last 15 Away Games: 12 Games Winless (80%)
• ●Last 12 Away Games: 7 Losses

Most Recent Match (February 3, 2024):

• ●2-2 Draw

Palhinha and Muniz scored for Fulham, while Fofana scored both goals for Burnley. Fofana had a dramatic late equalizer.

Possession: Fulham 56% vs Burnley 44% Shots: Fulham 15 (7 on target) vs Burnley 12 (4 on target)

Burnley showed a fighting spirit until late in the game.

Historically, Burnley has the upper hand:

• ●Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches: 67% Win Rate (6 Wins)

Burnley's 4-2-3-1

Vincent Kompany is having a really tough time. Fleming is struggling alone up front, but lacks support.

Cullen and Lewis are holding down the midfield, and Tuanzebe and Esteve are leading the defense. But they haven't scored a single goal in their last 3 home games. Their scoring ability is at rock bottom.

Injuries: Trésor, Roberts, Amdouni

Fulham's 4-2-3-1

Marco Silva's team is struggling away from home. Jiménez is responsible for finishing up front, and Wilson and Chukwueze are attacking from the flanks.

Palhinha and Iwobi control the midfield, and Andersen and Bassey lead the defense. They score 1.83 goals per game in their last 6 games, but their scoring ability drops away from home.

Injuries: Kevin, Robinson, Muniz, Diop

1. Burnley's Home Goal Drought

They haven't scored a single goal in their last 3 home games. This is a really serious problem. Fleming needs to be decisive.

2. Fulham's Away Struggles

They haven't won 12 of their last 15 away games. It seems difficult for them to win even at Burnley's home. But against Burnley's defense (2 goals conceded per game), there are plenty of scoring opportunities.

3. Defensive Instability

Burnley concedes 2 goals per game, and Fulham concedes 1.6 goals. Both have unstable defenses. There are likely to be a lot of goals.

analysis Probability:

• ●Burnley Win: 44%
• ●Predicted Score: 2-1
• ●Total Goals: Over 2.5 Goals Expected

The algorithm is predicting a narrow Burnley win. Past record (67% win rate) and Fulham's away struggles are the decisive factors. But considering Burnley's 6-game losing streak, it's really hard to predict.

Burnley (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Dubravka
• ●DF: Walker, Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman
• ●MF: Cullen, Lewis
• ●AM: Odobert, Brownhill, Foster
• ●FW: Fleming

⚠️ Out: Mike Trésor, Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni

Fulham (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Leno
• ●DF: Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Sessegnon
• ●MF: Palhinha, Iwobi
• ●AM: Wilson, Cairney, Chukwueze
• ●FW: Jiménez

⚠️ Out: Kevin Mbabu, Antonee Robinson, Rodrigo Muniz, Issa Diop

A really close game is expected. Burnley is on a 6-game losing streak and hasn't scored in their last 3 home games. Fulham hasn't won 12 of their last 15 away games. Both are in crisis.

The predicted score is a 2-1 Burnley win. Burnley has a 67% win rate in their past record, and Fulham's away struggles are likely to continue. It's a scenario where Burnley breaks its 6-game losing streak with the strength of their home crowd.

But Fulham also has a chance to win. Burnley's defense is conceding 2 goals per game. If Jiménez scores, Fulham can win.

Over 2.5 goals is likely. Burnley concedes 2 goals per game, and Fulham concedes 1.6 goals, with both defenses being unstable. It will be a game with a lot of goals.

Burnley is really desperate to escape the relegation zone. If they don't break their 6-game losing streak, relegation could become a reality. This game is really important.

Fulham is also not safe in 15th place. They need to earn points away from home to get out of the bottom of the table.