Girona vs Getafe: Can They Escape the Swamp of 11 Away Games Without a Win?

Girona and Getafe will face off on January 26th at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. Girona aims to settle in the mid-table, while Getafe desperately needs to escape the relegation zone. The two teams are in distinctly different situations. Getafe's away form is particularly concerning; will things change this time?

Girona (9th)

• ●20 Games: 6 Wins, 6 Draws, 8 Losses
• ●Goals For: 20 goals (1.0 goal per game)
• ●Goals Against: 34 goals (1.7 goals per game)
• ●Goal Difference: -14

Getafe (15th)

• ●20 Games: 6 Wins, 3 Draws, 11 Losses
• ●Goals For: 15 goals (0.75 goals per game)
• ●Goals Against: 26 goals (1.3 goals per game)
• ●Goal Difference: -11

Interestingly, Girona is higher in the standings but has a worse goal difference than Getafe. Their scoring ability is also just 1 goal per game. However, Getafe's 0.75 goals is among the lowest in the league. Their attack simply isn't working.

Girona Last 6 Games

• ●Record: 4 Wins, 2 Losses
• ●Average Goals For: 1.17 goals
• ●Average Goals Against: 1.33 goals

Not a bad run. However, the story changes when looking at home games alone.

Girona Last 3 Home Games

• ●Record: 1 Win, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Average Goals For: 0.67 goals

Their scoring ability drops significantly at home. This will be a concern for manager Míchel.

Getafe Last 6 Games

• ●Record: 0 Wins, 1 Draw, 5 Losses
• ●Average Goals For: 0.5 goals
• ●Average Goals Against: 1.0 goal

Terrible. They haven't won a single game in their last 6. They're also only scoring an average of 0.5 goals.

Getafe Away Record

• ●Last 11 Games: All Losses or Draws
• ●Away Loss Rate in Last 15 Games: 53%

They barely pick up any points away from home. The psychological pressure must be significant.

Girona has been dominant in head-to-head matches at Montilivi.

• ●Last 6 Home Games: 4 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Last 5 Home Games: 3 Wins (2 games with a 2-goal difference or more)

Girona finds Getafe a comfortable opponent. Especially at home. They've frequently won by a 2-goal margin or more.

Girona (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Gazzaniga
• ●DF: Rincón - Vitor Reis - Blind - Álex Moreno
• ●MF: Arnau Martínez - Iván Martín
• ●AM: Tsygankov - Lemar - Bryan Gil
• ●FW: Vánat

Out: Portu, Juan Carlos, Ünal, Van de Beek

Getafe (4-4-2)

• ●GK: David Soria
• ●DF: Damián Suárez - Djené - Duarte - Rico
• ●MF: Maksimović - Milla - Javi Muñoz - Mario Martín
• ●FW: Iglesias - Satriano

Out: Dávid, Arambarri, Borja Mayoral, N'Diaye, Angileri

Getafe's list of absentees is more critical. Especially the absence of Arambarri and Mayoral will be significant.

1. Girona's Home Scoring Ability

An average of 0.67 goals in their last 3 home games. This is the biggest variable. The defense is okay, but if they can't score, the game could become boring.

2. Getafe's Set Pieces

They have no chance in an open game. Djené and Duarte's aerial ability from corners and free-kicks is their only hope.

3. Lemar's Condition

Lemar, on loan from Atlético, is the core of Girona's attack. If his killer passes come to life, Girona's attack will become much sharper.

Scenario 1: Girona 2-1 Win (47%)

The most likely result. Girona takes a comfortable lead with a goal in the first half and another early in the second half, and Getafe scores a consolation goal late in the second half.

Scenario 2: 1-1 Draw (28%)

Possible if Girona's home scoring ability remains poor. Both teams score from set pieces and the game ends sluggishly.

Scenario 3: Girona 1-0 Win (15%)

A low-scoring game. Girona scores one goal and secures a clean sheet victory by stopping Getafe's blunt attack.

Girona 2-1 Win

Considering the head-to-head record, home advantage, and Getafe's away winless streak, Girona is clearly favored. However, Girona's recent drop in home scoring ability suggests a close game rather than a big win.

For Getafe, securing at least a draw is crucial to maintain hope of escaping the relegation zone. But it's difficult for a team that hasn't won away for 11 games to suddenly change.

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