Leeds United vs Chelsea: Crisis at Elland Road, Chelsea's Unbeaten Streak of 7 Games

Premier League Round 14, Leeds United hosts Chelsea at Elland Road on December 3rd. 18th-placed Leeds (5 points) vs. 3rd-placed Chelsea (29 points). A battle for survival for relegation-threatened Leeds and an unbeaten run for top-tier Chelsea. A stark contrast between the two teams.

Chelsea (3rd)

• ●13 Games: 9 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 26 goals / 14 goals
• ●Goal Difference: +12
• ●Points: 29 points
• ●Average Per Game: 2 goals scored / 1.08 goals conceded

Leeds United (18th)

• ●13 Games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 goals / 22 goals
• ●Goal Difference: -12
• ●Points: 11 points
• ●Average Per Game: 0.77 goals scored / 1.69 goals conceded

Chelsea is having a really good season. They are running in the top tier at 3rd place. Leeds is struggling in the relegation zone. Their scoring ability is at rock bottom, and they concede a lot of goals.

Chelsea's 7-Game Unbeaten Run

Unbeaten in the entire recent 7 games. This is a really good momentum.

Last 6 Games: 4 wins, 2 draws

• ●Average Per Game: 2 goals scored / 0.5 goals conceded

Their away record is also good:

• ●Last 7 Games Away: 3 clean sheets
• ●Possession: 54.5%
• ●Shots Per Game: 15.33 (6 shots on target)

Long-Term League Record:

• ●Last 15 League Games: 12 unbeaten games (80%)
• ●Last 30 League Games: 17 wins (57%)
• ●Last 15 Games Home: 8 clean sheets (53%)

Against Leeds, they have 5 wins in the last 7 games.

Leeds' Fall

They recorded 1 win and 5 losses in the recent 6 games. It's a really serious situation.

Average Per Game:

• ●Goals For: 1 goal
• ●Goals Against: 2.33 goals

Their home record isn't bad:

• ●Last 3 Games Home: 1 win, 2 losses
• ●Average Per Game: 1.33 goals scored / 1.67 goals conceded
• ●Possession: 48.33%

Looking at the entire season:

• ●Last 13 Games: 11 winless games (85%)
• ●Last 7 Games: 3 games lost by 2 or more goals (43%)

Points are desperately needed to escape the relegation zone.

Last 3 games held at Elland Road:

• ●1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss (Leeds standard)

While it's balanced, Chelsea leads in the overall head-to-head record. Chelsea has 5 wins in the recent 7 head-to-head matches.

Chelsea's 4-2-3-1

Enzo Maresca's system is working well. Caicedo and Fernandez are dominating the midfield, and Neto and Garnacho are attacking from the flanks.

Delap is responsible for finishing at the forefront. They are applying constant pressure while taking 15.33 shots per game.

There are many injured players. Mudryk (suspended), Disasi (ineligible), Lavia (muscle injury), Colwill (ACL injury), and Essugo are out.

Leeds' 4-3-3

Daniel Farke is in a crisis situation. They are only scoring 1 goal per game. Nmecha is struggling at the forefront, but support is lacking.

Ampadu and Tanaka are protecting the midfield, and Okafor and Aaronson are attacking from the flanks. But it seems difficult to stop Chelsea's firepower.

Stach is out with a head injury.

1. Leeds' Home Scoring Ability

They are only scoring 1 goal per game. Even at home, they only score once in every three games. Nmecha's finishing ability needs to come alive.

2. Chelsea's Away Clean Sheets

They have recorded clean sheets 3 times in the recent 7 away games. Fofana and Chalobah's defensive organization is excellent. They will be able to stop Leeds' weak attack.

3. Midfield Dominance

If Caicedo and Fernandez dominate the midfield, Chelsea's attack will open up wide. Leeds' Ampadu has to stop this, but it's not an easy task.

analysis Probability:

• ●Chelsea Win: 59%
• ●Expected Score: 2-0
• ●Total Goals: Expected Under 2.5 goals

The algorithm is predicting a clear Chelsea victory. The unbeaten streak, head-to-head record against Leeds, and Leeds' slump are all overwhelmingly favorable to Chelsea.

Leeds United (4-3-3)

• ●GK: Perry
• ●DF: Bogle, Rodon, Struijk, Gudmundsson
• ●MF: Ampadu, Tanaka, Longstaff
• ●FW: Okafor, Nmecha, Aaronson

⚠️ Out: Anton Stach (head injury)

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Sanchez
• ●DF: Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella
• ●MF: Caicedo, Fernandez
• ●AM: Neto, Joao Pedro, Garnacho
• ●FW: Delap

⚠️ Out: Mykhailo Mudryk (suspended), Axel Disasi (ineligible), Romeo Lavia (muscle injury), Levi Colwill (ACL injury), D'ariu Essugo

An overwhelming Chelsea victory is expected. They are on a 7-game unbeaten streak, and Leeds has not won 11 out of 13 games. The difference in power is too great.

The expected score is 2-0 Chelsea win. It's a scenario where Chelsea scores first in the first half and finishes the game with a wedge goal in the second half. It's difficult for Leeds' scoring ability to break through Chelsea's defense.

Leeds needs a miracle to get points. They need to get a historic win with the power of the home crowd, but realistically it's really difficult. How can a team that only scores 1 goal per game beat Chelsea?

Chelsea is expected to further solidify 3rd place with this win. They will continue their title race while extending their unbeaten streak to 8 games. I look forward to the performance of Delap and Garnacho.

Leeds is really desperate to escape the relegation zone. But it seems too difficult to get points against Chelsea.