Leicester vs West Brom: Overcoming Away Game Phobia

The 13th and 18th place teams meet. Neither team's season is going as expected. Leicester is rebuilding after relegation from the Premier League, and West Brom are struggling to win away from home. This match at the King Power Stadium on January 5th, who will be able to create an opportunity for a turnaround?

Leicester City (13th)

• ●Season Record: 9 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses (25 games) / Goal Difference: -2
• ●Goals: 1.4 goals per game / Goals Against: 37 goals
• ●Last 6 Games: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses
• ●Average Goals Scored: 1.67 goals / Average Goals Against: 2.17 goals
• ●Shots: 9.17 / Shots on Target: 2.83 / Possession: 45.33%
• ●Last 3 Home League Games: 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss
• ●Average Goals Scored at Home: 2 goals / Average Goals Against at Home: 1.33 goals
• ●Shots on Target at Home: 3
• ●Last 6 Home Games: 3 wins
• ●Last 16 Games: 50% Loss
• ●Last 28 Home Games: 50% Points Lost

Leicester is inconsistent. Half of their last 16 games have been losses. But they are a bit better at home. They've won 3 of their last 6 games and are scoring 2 goals per game. Goals conceded have also decreased to 1.33 goals. They are showing a reliable performance at the King Power.

West Bromwich Albion (18th)

• ●Season Record: 9 wins, 4 draws, 12 losses (25 games) / Goal Difference: -5
• ●Goals: 28 goals / Goals Against: 33 goals
• ●Last 6 Games: 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses
• ●Average Goals Scored: 1.17 goals / Average Goals Against: 1.33 goals
• ●Shots: 14.5 / Shots on Target: 4.67 / Possession: 50.17%
• ●Last 15 Away Games: 13 Games Without a Win (87%)
• ●Last 15 Away Games: 11 Losses (73%)
• ●Last 3 Away Games: 3 Consecutive Losses
• ●Average Goals Scored Away: 0.67 goals / Average Goals Against Away: 1.67 goals
• ●Last 12 Games: 58% Loss
• ●Last 30 Away Games: 26 Games Without a Win (87%!)

West Brom is struggling significantly away from home. They haven't won 26 of their last 30 games. The 87% figure is remarkable. Their last 3 games have all been losses, and they are only scoring 0.67 goals per game. They take a lot of shots (14.5), but the problem is that the goals aren't going in. Their finishing is terrible.

Looking at the last 5 games at the King Power:

• ●Leicester: 2 wins / Draws: 2 / West Brom: 1 win
• ●Last 4 Games: Leicester 2 wins

Leicester has a slight advantage against West Brom at home. They've won 2 of their last 4 games. But there have also been many draws in this matchup. There's a high possibility of a tight game.

Leicester's Home Counterattack

Coach Ruud van Nistelrooy is aiming for a turnaround at home. They are likely to play in a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation.

Jordan Ayew will lead the attack as the lone striker, with Mavididi and Fatawu attempting breakthroughs on the flanks. James and Skipp will be responsible for the midfield, and De Cordova-Reid will connect the attack and defense.

They are scoring 2 goals per game at home. Their shots on target have also increased to 3. West Brom's defense concedes 1.67 goals per game away from home, so they can definitely break through.

West Brom's Away Survival

Coach Carlos Corberán will also have many concerns. They are on a 3-game losing streak away from home. They are likely to play in a 4-3-3 or 3-5-2 formation.

Hegdehaugen will lead the attack as the lone striker, with Johnston and Grant providing support on the flanks. Mowatt and Diakite will be responsible for the midfield, and Phillips and Mepham will defend.

14.5 shots and 4.67 shots on target mean they are attempting a lot of attacks. The problem is finishing. They create opportunities, but the goals aren't going in. Hegdehaugen needs to come alive, but it doesn't look easy as the team scores 0.67 goals per game away from home.

1. Leicester's Home Advantage vs West Brom's Away Game Phobia

This is the key. Leicester has won 3 of their 6 home games, and West Brom haven't won 26 of their last 30 away games. This contrast will determine the outcome of the game.

2. West Brom's Finishing

West Brom is taking 14.5 shots but only scoring 1.17 goals per game. Their finishing is terrible. Leicester's defense isn't perfect, so there will be opportunities. Hegdehaugen and Grant need to capitalize on those opportunities.

3. Both Teams' Defensive Instability

Leicester is conceding 2.17 goals per game, and West Brom is conceding 1.33 goals. Both have unstable defenses. It could be a high-scoring game. The first goal is really important in this game.

Leicester Home Trends

• ●Last 6 Home Games: 3 wins (50%)
• ●Last 3 Home League Games: 2 wins, 1 loss
• ●Average Goals Scored at Home: 2 goals
• ●Last 28 Home Games: 50% Points Lost
• ●vs West Brom Last 4 Home Games: 2 wins

West Brom Away Trends

• ●Last 30 Away Games: 87% Without a Win (26 games)
• ●Last 15 Away Games: 87% Without a Win (13 games)
• ●Last 15 Away Games: 73% Loss (11 losses)
• ●Last 3 Away Games: 3 Consecutive Losses
• ●Average Goals Scored Away: 0.67 goals

The numbers point to Leicester. West Brom not winning 87% of their last 30 away games is a really serious problem. Leicester is likely to take the points at home.

Leicester City (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Stolarczyk
• ●DF: Nelson, O'Koli, Pereira, Thomas
• ●MF: James, Fatawu, Mavididi, De Cordova-Reid, Skipp
• ●FW: Jordan Ayew

West Bromwich Albion (4-3-3)

• ●GK: Wildsmith
• ●DF: Phillips, Mepham, Campbell, Taylor
• ●MF: Styles, Grant, Johnston, Diakite, Mowatt
• ●FW: Hegdehaugen

Predicted Score: Leicester 2-1 West Brom

Leicester win. The probability is 48%.

Leicester is likely to score the first goal in the first half. They are scoring 2 goals per game at home, and West Brom's defense is conceding 1.67 goals per game away from home. Jordan Ayew or Mavididi will play a decisive role.

West Brom can also create a goal. They take a lot of shots. Hegdehaugen can score on the counterattack. But it's difficult to see them coming back, as they score 0.67 goals per game.

The most realistic scenario is that Leicester scores an additional goal in the second half and it ends 2-1.

There is also a possibility of Over 2.5 goals. Both teams have unstable defenses. It will be a fun game with goals.

For Leicester fans, this is a good opportunity to take 3 points at the King Power. For West Brom fans, it will be a really tough away game. 26 games without a win out of 30, it doesn't look easy to overcome their away game phobia.

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