Mainz vs. Samsunspor: Clash at Mewa Arena, 5 Unbeaten Matches in 6 Conference Games vs. 6 Undefeated Matches in 7 Overall

UEFA Europa Conference League Group Stage Round 6, Mainz hosts Samsunspor at Mewa Arena on December 18th. 8th-placed Mainz (10 points) vs. 5th-placed Samsunspor (10 points). Both teams are winless in their last 6 matches in all competitions, but they show different form in the Conference League.

Samsunspor (5th)

• ●5 Matches: 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 Goals Scored / 4 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +6
• ●Points: 10 Points
• ●Average per Game: 2 Goals Scored / 0.8 Goals Conceded

Mainz (8th)

• ●5 Matches: 3 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Goals For/Against: 5 Goals Scored / 3 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +2
• ●Points: 10 Points
• ●Average per Game: 1 Goal Scored / 0.6 Goals Conceded

The records are the same, but the styles are completely different. Samsunspor is offensive (2 goals per game), while Mainz is defensive (0.6 goals conceded per game).

Mainz's 6-Game Winless Streak Overall

They have recorded 3 Draws and 3 Losses in the last 6 matches. They have only scored 0.67 goals per game and conceded 1.67 goals.

Shots: 8.83 (2.33 Shots on Target) Possession: 38.17% (Low)

Recent 3 Home Matches:

• ●1 Win, 1 Draw, 1 Loss
• ●Average per Game: 1 Goal Scored / 1 Goal Conceded
• ●Possession: 48%

Long-term record is concerning:

• ●Last 15 Matches Overall: 12 Winless Matches (80%)
• ●Last 12 Home Matches: 6 Losses (50%)
• ●Last 15 Home Matches: 12 Winless Matches (80%)

But they are a completely different team in the Conference League:

• ●Last 6 Conference Matches: 5 Unbeaten Matches (83%)
• ●Last 7 Conference Matches: 4 Wins (57%)

Samsunspor's 3-Game Losing Streak Overall

They have recorded 3 Draws and 3 Losses in the last 6 matches. They have scored 1.17 goals per game and conceded 1.83 goals.

Shots: 13.67 (4.17 Shots on Target) Possession: 50.33%

They are on a 3-game losing streak.

Long-term record:

• ●Last 20 Matches Overall: 16 Unbeaten Matches (80%)
• ●Last 7 Matches: 6 Winless Matches (86%)

Away Record:

• ●Last 6 Away Matches: 3 Wins (50%)
• ●Last 8 Away Matches: 4 Draws (50%)
• ●Last 12 Away Matches: 10 Unbeaten Matches (83%)

They have good scoring ability in the Conference League:

• ●10 Goals in 5 Matches (2 goals per game)

Mainz's 5-3-2

Coach Bo Svensson's team is organized. Weiper and Hollerbach aim to score in the front line, but support is lacking.

Maloney, Sano, and Lee Jae-sung guard the midfield, and Hanche-Olsen and Bell lead the defense. Their weapon is a solid defense that concedes 0.6 goals per game in the Conference League.

Injured: Zentner, Caci, Mvene, Amiri, Leitsch, Weiper (Many!)

Samsunspor's 4-1-4-1

Coach Thomas Reis's team is offensive. Mouandilmadji is responsible for finishing in the front line, and Holse and Mușaba attack from the flanks.

Mäkumbu controls the midfield, and Szarka and van Drongelen lead the defense. Their weapon is the firepower that scores 2 goals per game in the Conference League.

Injured: Sousa, Aydin, Ndiaye

1. Mainz's Conference Stability

Although they are on a 6-game winless streak overall, they are unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches in the Conference League. The defense that concedes 0.6 goals per game is key.

2. Samsunspor's Scoring Ability

They have scored 10 goals in 5 Conference League matches. 2 goals per game is really impressive. Can they break through Mainz's defense?

3. Recent Form Difference

Both are on a 6-game winless streak overall. However, Mainz is stable in the Conference, while Samsunspor is on a 3-game losing streak.

analysis Probability:

• ●Mainz Win: 37%
• ●Predicted Score: 2-1

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Mainz. Conference home stability is a decisive factor. However, the probability is low due to Samsunspor's scoring ability (2 goals per game).

Mainz (5-3-2)

• ●GK: Batz
• ●DF: Widmer, Da Costa, Hanche-Olsen, Bell, Kawasaki
• ●MF: Maloney, Sano, Lee Jae-sung
• ●FW: Hollerbach, Weiper

⚠️ Out: Robin Zentner, Anthony Caci, Phillipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Maxim Leitsch, Nelson Weiper

Samsunspor (4-1-4-1)

• ●GK: Kozhuk
• ●DF: Yavru, Szarka, van Drongelen, Tomasson
• ●MF: Mäkumbu
• ●AM: Kilinç, Holse, Ntcham, Mușaba
• ●FW: Mouandilmadji

⚠️ Out: Afonso Sousa, Eyyüp Aydin, Sherif Ndiaye

A really close game is expected. Both teams are on a 6-game winless streak in all competitions, but they show different form in the Conference League. Mainz is unbeaten in 5 of 6 matches, and Samsunspor has scored 10 goals in 5 matches.

The predicted score is 2-1 for Mainz. Mainz will score 2 goals on the counter-attack while holding out organizationally at home. Samsunspor will make up one goal, but it will be difficult to completely break through Mainz's defense.

However, Samsunspor's scoring ability cannot be ignored. They are scoring 2 goals per game in the Conference League. The battle between Mainz's defense (0.6 goals conceded per game) and Samsunspor's attack (2 goals per game) will determine the outcome.

Mainz is sluggish in all competitions (12 draws in 15 matches), but stable in the Conference League. Will they be able to continue their unbeaten run in the Conference with the power of the home crowd?

Samsunspor is on a 3-game losing streak. However, they have a good record of 10 unbeaten matches in 12 away matches. They can also earn points at Mainz's home.

The possibility of both teams scoring is high. Samsunspor is scoring 2 goals per game, and Mainz also has scoring ability in the Conference League.

Both teams have 10 points. This game is a really important game that could determine qualification for the Round of 16.