Sigma Olomouc vs. Lech Poznań: Draw Predicted, 10 Unbeaten in 12 Home Games vs. 16 Unbeaten in 20 Away Games

In the UEFA Europa Conference League group stage Round 6, Sigma Olomouc hosts Lech Poznań on December 18. 22nd-placed Sigma (7 points) and 20th-placed Lech (7 points). They have the same points, but their recent form is completely different.

Lech Poznań (20th)

• ●5 Matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 goals scored / 7 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +3
• ●Points: 7 points
• ●Average per game: 2 goals scored / 1.4 goals conceded

Sigma Olomouc (22nd)

• ●5 Matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 6 goals scored / 7 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -1
• ●Points: 7 points
• ●Average per game: 1.2 goals scored / 1.4 goals conceded

Their records are the same, but Lech is ahead in scoring ability.

Sigma Olomouc's 4 Consecutive Losses

They have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses in the last 6 games. They are only scoring 0.83 goals per game and conceding 2 goals.

Shots: 12.83 shots (3.33 shots on target) Possession: 49.33%

They are on a 4-game losing streak. It's a really tough time.

But they are a different team at home:

• ●Last 3 home games: 2 wins, 1 loss
• ●Average per game: 1.33 goals scored / 0.67 goals conceded
• ●Shots on target: 4.67 shots
• ●Possession: 42.67%

Long-term home record:

• ●Last 12 home games: 83% unbeaten (10 games)
• ●Last 12 home games: 6 wins (50%)
• ●Last 12 home games: 58% clean sheets (7 games)

Lech Poznań's 6 Consecutive Unbeaten Games

They are on a 6-game unbeaten streak (100%). They are really stable.

Last 6 games: 3 wins, 3 draws

• ●Average per game: 1.83 goals scored / 0.67 goals conceded
• ●Shots: 13.83 shots (4.83 shots on target)
• ●Possession: 55.17%

They are also strong away from home:

• ●Last 20 away games overall: 16 unbeaten games (80%)
• ●Last 32 away games: 13 clean sheets (41%)

Long-term record:

• ●Last 15 games overall: 80% unbeaten (12 games)
• ●Last 20 Conference games: 16 unbeaten games (80%)

But recently in the Conference:

• ●Last 6 Conference games: 3 losses

Sigma Olomouc's 4-2-3-1

Tomáš Janotka's team holds their own at home. Ba Loua is in charge of finishing at the forefront, with Šíp and Drozdi in attack on the flanks.

Breite and Vraštil protect the midfield, and Křal and Malý lead the defense. Their solid defense, conceding just 0.67 goals per game at home, is their weapon.

Injured: Muritala

Lech Poznań's 4-2-3-1

Nikos Nioplias's team dominates possession. Ishak is responsible for scoring at the forefront, with Andersson and Gholizadeh attacking on the flanks.

Jagiello and Kvekveskiri protect the midfield, and Milić and Marchwiński lead the defense. They dominate the game with 55.17% possession.

Injured: Velde, Hotić Suspended: Palma (Luis Palma)

1. Sigma's Home Defense

They have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 12 home games (58%). They have only conceded 0.67 goals per game in their last 3 home games. Can they stop Lech's attack?

2. Lech's Unbeaten Streak

They are on a 6-game unbeaten streak. They are unbeaten in 16 of their 20 away games. Can they continue their unbeaten run at Sigma's home?

3. Recent Form Difference

Sigma is on a 4-game losing streak, while Lech is on a 6-game unbeaten streak. But Sigma is really strong at home (10 unbeaten in 12 games).

analysis Probability:

• ●Draw: 42%
• ●Predicted Score: 0-0

The algorithm predicts a draw. Sigma's home defense and Lech's away unbeaten run are balanced. A low-scoring game is expected.

Sigma Olomouc (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Koutný
• ●DF: Slavíček, Křal, Malý, Chaluš
• ●MF: Breite, Vraštil
• ●AM: Šíp, Langer, Drozdi
• ●FW: Ba Loua

⚠️ Missing: Yunusa Muritala

Lech Poznań (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Mrozek
• ●DF: Pereira, Milić, Marchwiński, Gurgul
• ●MF: Jagiello, Kvekveskiri
• ●AM: Andersson, Sousa, Gholizadeh
• ●FW: Ishak

⚠️ Missing: Kristoffer Velde, Dino Hotić ⚠️ Suspended: Luis Palma

The possibility of a draw is really high. Sigma is unbeaten in 10 of their 12 home games, and Lech is unbeaten in 16 of their 20 away games. Both are really solid.

The predicted score is a 0-0 draw. The scenario is that Sigma holds on with a solid defense at home, and Lech stably earns a point away from home.

It looks like it will be a low-scoring game. Sigma has only scored 0.83 goals per game in their last 6 games, and Lech has only conceded 0.67 goals per game. Scoring will be really difficult.

Sigma is on a 4-game losing streak, but they are a completely different team at home. Their defense is solid, conceding 0.67 goals per game in their last 3 home games. They can stop Lech's attack (1.83 goals scored per game).

Lech is on a 6-game unbeaten streak. They are really strong away from home (16 unbeaten in 20 games). The possibility of continuing their unbeaten run at Sigma's home is high.

Sigma's home clean sheet rate is 58%. Lech also has a 41% clean sheet record away from home. It is difficult to score because both defenses are solid.

With the same 7 points, this is a really important game. If it ends in a draw, it may become unclear whether both teams will advance to the round of 16.