Alanyaspor vs Basaksehir: Süper Lig Home Struggles vs Away Momentum
PREVIEWFriday, February 20, 2026·1.4K

Alanyaspor vs Basaksehir: Süper Lig Home Struggles vs Away Momentum

Alanyaspor's 18 winless from 20 league meets Basaksehir's 6 unbeaten from 6 away. 40% wins by 2+ from 20 away—Basaksehir away win expected.

TrendSoccer
Football Data Analyst

Alanyaspor vs Basaksehir: Test of Resolve and Form

A Süper Lig match at GAIN Park Stadium. Alanyaspor welcome Basaksehir with both sides quietly building momentum. With Basaksehir pressing to close the gap to the top and Alanyaspor seeking greater stability mid-table, this meeting is shaping up as a test of resolve and form in the Süper Lig race.

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Previous Meeting Analysis

The most recent meeting in September 2025 ended 1-1.

Match statistics:

  • Shots: 13 each
  • Possession: Basaksehir 53% vs Alanyaspor 47%
  • Dangerous attacks: Alanyaspor 50 vs Basaksehir 25
  • Shots on target: Alanyaspor 6 vs Basaksehir 5

Scoring record:

  • Eldor Shomurodov (29') - Basaksehir opener
  • Uchenna Ogundu (51') - Alanyaspor equalizer

Underlined just how tight and competitive their clashes have become.

Last 5 home H2H: Alanyaspor 2 wins by 2+ goals, but 2 losses from 4

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Recent Form

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor's last 6 reflect a mixed bag: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, averaging 2.0+ goals while conceding 1.67.

As hosts, they've struggled for consistency: just 1 win from 3 home, conceding 2+ per game, with 42.67% possession—lingering challenges in defense and ball retention at home.

18 winless from 20 league (90%), 7 draws from 12 (58%)—serious struggles.

Basaksehir

Basaksehir have found a strong rhythm: 4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from last 6, averaging 2.5 goals while conceding just 1.33.

With 6.83 shots on target and 57.67% possession—attacking unit looks more potent. Away: 3 consecutive wins, only 2 goals conceded across those fixtures.

6 unbeaten from 6 away (100%), 40% wins by 2+ from 20 away (8 wins), 5 wins by 2+ from 13 Süper Lig, 80% unbeaten from 10 league (8 matches).

🏆 Süper Lig Season Comparison

Alanyaspor (10th Place)

  • 22 Matches: 5W 11D 6L
  • Goals Scored: 24 (1.09 per game)
  • Goals Conceded: 25 (1.14 per game)
  • Goal Difference: -1

Basaksehir (6th Place)

  • 22 Matches: 9W 7D 6L
  • Goals Scored: 38 (1.73 per game)
  • Goals Conceded: 25 (1.14 per game)
  • Goal Difference: +13

Basaksehir's 38 goals (1.73 per game) and +13 goal difference are signs of upward movement.

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Key Stats Comparison

Attacking Metrics

  • Goals per game: Alanyaspor 2.0+ vs Basaksehir 2.5 (last 6)
  • Season goals: Alanyaspor 1.09 vs Basaksehir 1.73
  • Shots on target: Basaksehir 6.83

Possession & Style

  • Home possession: Alanyaspor 42.67% (low)
  • Away possession: Basaksehir 57.67%

Defensive Metrics

  • Goals conceded: Alanyaspor 1.67 vs Basaksehir 1.33 (last 6)
  • Home conceded: Alanyaspor 2+ (last 3)
  • Away conceded: Basaksehir 2 goals from 3 (0.67 per game)
  • Home clean sheets: Alanyaspor 47% from 15 (7 matches)

📊 Key Trends

Alanyaspor

  • 47% clean sheets from 15 home (7 matches)
  • 2 wins by 2+ from 5 home H2H
  • ⚠️ 18 winless from 20 league (90%)
  • ⚠️ 7 draws from 12 (58%)
  • ⚠️ 2 losses from 4 H2H
  • 2+ conceded per home game (last 3)

Basaksehir

  • 6 unbeaten from 6 away (100%)
  • 3 consecutive away wins
  • 40% wins by 2+ from 20 away (8 wins)
  • 5 wins by 2+ from 13 Süper Lig
  • 80% unbeaten from 10 league (8 matches)
  • 2.5 goals per game (last 6)
  • 57.67% possession
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Tactical Analysis

Alanyaspor's 3-4-3 Home Stability

Manager's 3-4-3 seeks consistency at home—42.67% possession, 2+ conceded per game shows defensive problems.

Hwang Ui-jo, Ianis Hagi, and Efecan Karaca must capitalize on limited chances.

Aliti (suspension), Özdemir, and Maestro absences affect options.

Basaksehir's 4-3-3 Away Dominance

Manager's 4-3-3 is effective away—2.5 goals, 57.67% possession dominates matches.

Eldor Shomurodov, Davie Selke, and Abbosbek Fayzullaev lead attack. Shomurodov scored in previous H2H.

Harit (injury) and Bertuğ Yıldırım absences exist, but Berat Özdemir can replace in midfield.

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Probable Lineups

Alanyaspor (3-4-3)

  • GK: Paulo Victor
  • DF: Ümit Akdağ, Nuno Lima, Güven Yalçın - Back three
  • WB: Florent Hadergjonaj, Ruan
  • CM: Nicolas Janvier, Gaius Makouta
  • FW: Ianis Hagi, Ui-jo Hwang, Efecan Karaca

Out: Fidan Aliti (suspension), Yusuf Özdemir, Maestro

Basaksehir (4-3-3)

  • GK: Muhammed Şengezer
  • DF: Ömer Ali Şahiner, Léo Duarte, Jerome Opoku, Christopher Operi
  • MF: Olivier Kemen, Umut Güneş, Amine Harit* (Berat Özdemir possible)
  • FW: Abbosbek Fayzullaev, Eldor Shomurodov, Davie Selke - Threatening trio

Out: Amine Harit (doubtful), Bertuğ Yıldırım

💡 Key Battles

1. Alanyaspor's Winless Run

90% winless from 20 league. Alanyaspor struggle to convert draws to wins.

2. Basaksehir's Away Momentum

6 unbeaten from 6 away, 3 consecutive wins. Basaksehir are strong travelers.

3. Alanyaspor's Home Defensive Problems

2+ conceded per home game (last 3). Alanyaspor's home defense is vulnerable.

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TrendSoccer Analysis

Basaksehir
41%
Draw
31%
Alanyaspor
28%

Basaksehir away win appears likely.

Match projects higher likelihood of Basaksehir leaving GAIN Park Stadium with all three points. Their recent form and sharp attack give them the edge, while Alanyaspor's difficulty in converting draws to wins and home inconsistencies limit their prospects.

analysis leans to Over 2.5 goals, with Basaksehir favored and likely outcome in 1-3 range.

Final analysis: Basaksehir 1-3 Away Win

AD
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