Alavés vs Getafe: Home Strength Meets Winless Visitors

Estadio de Mendizorroza hosts a La Liga clash between contrasting sides. Alavés, unbeaten in 12 of their last 15 home league games, face Getafe, who are mired in a 10-match winless streak. Despite Getafe's head-to-head advantage, current form and home advantage suggest a tightly contested draw.

Deportivo Alavés - Home Fortress

Alavés's last six matches produced 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses — solid form. They average 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, balanced at both ends.

Home form is particularly impressive: 2 wins, 1 draw (unbeaten) in their last 3 at Mendizorroza, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding just 0.67 per game. With 15.67 shots (7.67 on target) per home match, they create plenty. Being 12 unbeaten in 15 home La Liga games and keeping 4 clean sheets in 10 confirms their fortress status.

Getafe - 10-Match Winless Nightmare

Getafe's situation is dire: 3 draws, 3 losses in their last 6 — no wins at all. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded — alarming numbers. With 10.5 shots (2.83 on target) and 42.83% possession, they struggle to control games.

Most concerning is their 10-match winless streak. Being 80% winless in 15 and winless in 12 of 15 league games reflects deep crisis. Away form shows no wins in 3 (2 draws, 1 loss), conceding 2 goals per game.

Attacking Metrics

• ●Last 6 games goals: Alavés 1.33 vs Getafe 0.5
• ●Home goals (last 3): Alavés 1.67
• ●Home shots: Alavés 15.67 vs Getafe 10.5
• ●Shots on target: Alavés home 7.67 vs Getafe 2.83

Defensive Metrics

• ●Last 6 games conceded: Alavés 1.17 vs Getafe 1.5
• ●Home conceded (last 3): Alavés 0.67
• ●Home clean sheets (10 games): Alavés 4

Unbeaten/Winless Records

• ●Alavés home: 12 unbeaten in 15
• ●Getafe: 10 consecutive winless ⚠️
• ●Getafe: 80% winless in 15

Deportivo Alavés (10th)

With 7 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses from 22 games, Alavés sit 10th. Their 20 scored and 27 conceded (-7 GD) shows scoring struggles, but they maintain mid-table safety through home consistency.

Getafe (17th)

Getafe's 6 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses leaves them 17th with 16 scored and 27 conceded (-11 GD). Averaging just 0.73 goals per game is relegation territory. Their 10-match winless run has them dangerously close to the drop zone.

• ●Last 5 meetings: Alavés 1W 1D 3L vs Getafe

Getafe lead 3-1-1 in recent head-to-head. However, current form makes this historical advantage less relevant. Getafe winning at Mendizorroza while on a 10-match winless streak seems improbable.

Alavés's Home Push

Alavés will deploy a 4-5-1 with Blanco and Aleñá controlling midfield. Rebbach provides creativity on the flank, with Toni Martínez leading the line. Their 15.67 home shots per game will pressure Getafe's defense. Home defensive solidity (4 clean sheets in 10) is also a strength.

Getafe's Survival Mode

Bordalás's 5-3-2 prioritizes defense. Djené and Duarte marshal the backline, with Milla screening in front. Satriano and Vázquez lead counter-attacks. However, averaging 0.5 goals and 2.83 shots on target makes scoring extremely difficult. Securing a draw requires 90-minute concentration.

Deportivo Alavés (4-5-1)

• ●GK: Sivera
• ●DF: Pacheco, Tenaglia, Otto, Parada
• ●MF: Rebbach, Blanco, Aleñá, Guridi, Ibáñez
• ●FW: Toni Martínez

Getafe (5-3-2)

• ●GK: Soria
• ●DF: Djené, Femenía, Iglesias, Duarte, Rico
• ●MF: Milla, Mario Martín, Muñoz
• ●FW: Satriano, Vázquez

1. Alavés's Home Firepower

Scoring 1.67 goals per home game with 15.67 shots and 7.67 on target is impressive. With Getafe conceding 1.5 per game, containing Alavés's attack will be challenging.

2. Getafe's Scoring Crisis

Averaging 0.5 goals and 2.83 shots on target makes scoring a major challenge. With Alavés keeping 4 clean sheets in 10 home games, Getafe could end scoreless.

3. Draw Probability

Alavés have won 6 of their last 12; Getafe have drawn 3 of 6. Both teams tend toward stalemates rather than decisive victories. If Getafe adopt extreme defensive tactics, 1-1 or 0-0 becomes likely.

This is a classic lower-mid-table clash with draw probability highest. Alavés's 12 unbeaten in 15 home meets Getafe's 10-match winless — the hosts are favored but may struggle to find a decisive goal. Getafe will defend deep seeking any point.

Both teams lack scoring punch (Alavés 0.91/game, Getafe 0.73/game), making a high-scoring affair unlikely. Under 2.5 goals is probable in this tight contest. Final analysis: 1-1 draw