AS Roma vs Bologna: Europa League Match Preview

Roma and Bologna meet on March 20 at 05:00 KST in a Europa League knockout-stage fixture. Roma maintains a strong home record of 64% (9W-2D-3L) but has struggled in recent form with 1W-2D-2L over the last five matches. Bologna, conversely, arrives in excellent recent form with four wins in five games, though their away record stands at 43% (6W-4D-4L). The power index gap favors Roma significantly at 214 points (293 vs 79), yet the contrasting current form of both sides will be key to this encounter.

Recent Form

AS Roma

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 3D 3L
Goals / Conceded	17 / 11
Streak	2-game losing run

Bologna

Stat	Value
Last 10	5W 0D 5L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 14

Europa League Season Record

	AS Roma (Home)	Bologna (Away)
W-D-L	9-2-3	6-4-4
Win Rate	64%	43%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	AS Roma	Bologna
Goals/Game	1.7	1.2
Conceded/Game	1.1	1.4
Over 2.5	50%	60%
BTTS	50%	50%
Clean Sheet	40%	30%

Head-to-Head

AS Roma Wins	Draws	Bologna Wins	Total
9	5	6	20

Recent Meetings

D AS Roma 1 - 1 Bologna (2026-03-12)

W AS Roma 1 - 0 Bologna (2025-08-23)

D AS Roma 2 - 2 Bologna (2025-01-12)

H2H: 호각세 (9승 5무 6패)

TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
AS Roma	█████████░░░░░░░ 55%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 25%
Bologna	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 20%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	GOOD
Odds	1.76 / 3.55 / 4.81
Power Index	AS Roma 293 vs Bologna 79

Tactical Points

Roma has maintained a solid home record historically, but recent back-to-back defeats suggest declining defensive focus. An average of 1.7 goals per game reflects solid attacking capability, while 1.1 goals conceded represents a relatively controlled defensive output. Critically, Roma records a 90% win rate when scoring first, making early control pivotal to match management. However, a 0% comeback rate exposes a tactical vulnerability—Roma struggles to overturn deficits and may face difficulties in pursuing late-game scenarios.

Bologna arrives in strong form with four wins in five games, averaging 1.2 goals per match with consistent attacking structure. Yet their 43% away record and 1.4 goals conceded per game reveal defensive fragility on the road. A 14% comeback rate indicates Bologna would struggle to recover if falling behind early. Despite impressive recent momentum, Bologna must establish defensive stability from the outset to counter Roma's home strength and the substantial 214-point power index differential.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 214pts

2. Prob edge: 35.5%

3. Home 1st goal win: 89%

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Europa League: AS Roma vs Bologna Data-Driven Preview