Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Europa League Match Preview

Aston Villa will face Nottingham Forest in the Europa League semi-final second leg on May 8 at 04:00 KST. Villa are currently struggling with back-to-back losses in their last five matches, while Forest maintain the strongest form with three consecutive wins. Despite Villa's power index advantage of 35 points (99 vs 64), the team's recent slump and Forest's momentum create a competitive dynamic. With Villa holding a 7-4 head-to-head advantage historically, both sides bring championship ambitions to this high-stakes encounter.

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Recent Form

Aston Villa

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 17
Streak	2-game losing run

Nottingham Forest

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 4D 2L
Goals / Conceded	19 / 8
Streak	3-game win streak

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Europa League Season Record

	Aston Villa (Home)	Nottingham Forest (Away)
W-D-L	9-2-5	4-3-8
Win Rate	56%	27%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Aston Villa	Nottingham Forest
Goals/Game	1.2	1.9
Conceded/Game	1.7	0.8
Over 2.5	40%	60%
BTTS	60%	50%
Clean Sheet	20%	40%

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Head-to-Head

Aston Villa Wins	Draws	Nottingham Forest Wins	Total
7	5	4	16

Recent Meetings

패 Aston Villa 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest (2026-04-30)

무 Aston Villa 1 - 1 Nottingham Forest (2026-04-12)

승 Aston Villa 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest (2026-01-03)

역대 전적: Aston Villa 우세 (7승 5무 4패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Aston Villa	█████████░░░░░░░ 54%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 24%
Nottingham Forest	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 22%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	GOOD
Odds	1.75 / 3.79 / 4.51
Power Index	Aston Villa 99 vs Nottingham Forest 64

Tactical Points

Aston Villa show a 56% home record (9W-2D-5L) that demonstrates a solid advantage in home matches. However, conceding 1.7 goals per game represents a defensive vulnerability that could be exploited. Nottingham Forest, despite a 27% away record (4W-3D-8L), exhibit upward trajectory with four wins in their last five matches, offsetting historical away weakness. Forest's 1.9 goals per game combined with 0.8 goals conceded indicates both offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. Villa's 89% win rate when scoring first stands as a significant tactical asset, making early goal-scoring a critical priority. The contrast between Villa's defensive concerns and Forest's compact structure will define possession and transition efficiency.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 35pts

2. Prob edge: 31.7%

3. Home 1st goal win: 80%

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Europa League: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Data-Driven Preview