Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga: J1 League Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka hosts Kyoto Sanga on May 6 at 14:00 (KST), with both teams posting identical recent form: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss over their last five matches. The hosts maintain a 13-point advantage in power index (112 vs 99) and a notable gap in offensive output (0.6 vs 1.0 goals per match). However, the teams' contrasting home and away records create a tactical tension that will define this encounter. Their head-to-head history (9-3-8) reflects a competitive rivalry with no clear dominance.

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Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	6 / 10

Kyoto Sanga

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 5D 2L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 10
Streak	2-game win streak

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J1 League Season Record

	Avispa Fukuoka (Home)	Kyoto Sanga (Away)
W-D-L	7-7-5	10-5-4
Win Rate	37%	53%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Avispa Fukuoka	Kyoto Sanga
Goals/Game	0.6	1.0
Conceded/Game	1.0	1.0
Over 2.5	20%	20%
BTTS	20%	60%
Clean Sheet	50%	20%

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Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka Wins	Draws	Kyoto Sanga Wins	Total
9	3	8	20

Recent Meetings

패 Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 2 Kyoto Sanga (2026-02-22)

무 Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga (2025-07-21)

승 Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga (2025-03-09)

역대 전적: 호각세 (9승 3무 8패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Avispa Fukuoka	███████░░░░░░░░░ 46%
Draw	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 21%
Kyoto Sanga	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 32%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PASS
Odds	3.01 / 3.09 / 2.36
Power Index	Avispa Fukuoka 112 vs Kyoto Sanga 99
Pattern	1-3-2 (4150 matches)

Tactical Points

Avispa Fukuoka's home record of 37% (7W-7D-5L) sits below competitive baseline expectations. More concerning is their offensive output of 0.6 goals per match, compounded by a significant issue: 5 goalless matches in their last 10 games represent a clear attacking inefficiency. Defensive concessions average 1.0 goal per match—manageable but not exceptional.

Kyoto Sanga, conversely, demonstrates strong away form with a 53% win rate (10W-5D-4L). While their 1.0 goals-against average matches Avispa's, their 1.0 goals-for average directly reflects the attacking differential over the hosts' 0.6. However, their weak recovery metrics (14% comeback rate) indicate vulnerability if losing match control early.

The 13-point power index gap suggests tactical dominance for the hosts, yet the visitors' proven resilience in away fixtures and Avispa's documented home inefficiency create offsetting dynamics.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 25.1%

2. Home 1st goal win: 75%

3. Pattern: 4150 matches

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Avispa Fukuoka vs Kyoto Sanga | J1 League Tactical Breakdown