Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock: J1 League Match Preview

On September 5 at 19:00, Avispa Fukuoka will face Mito Hollyhock in a J-League clash between two teams in contrasting form. Avispa Fukuoka has recorded a poor run of 1 win and 4 losses over their last five matches, currently on a three-game losing streak. In contrast, Mito Hollyhock has shown more stability with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their recent five games. While the power index suggests near parity (1-point difference), the significant recent form gap is likely to be a decisive factor in this encounter.

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 1D 6L
Goals / Conceded	14 / 16
Streak	3-game losing run

Mito Hollyhock

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 2D 6L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 17

J1 League Season Record

	Avispa Fukuoka (Home)	Mito Hollyhock (Away)
W-D-L	1-0-2	1-0-1
Win Rate	33%	50%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Avispa Fukuoka	Mito Hollyhock
Goals/Game	1.4	1.2
Conceded/Game	1.6	1.7
Over 2.5	70%	50%
BTTS	60%	70%
Clean Sheet	10%	0%

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka Wins	Draws	Mito Hollyhock Wins	Total
5	7	5	17

Recent Meetings

W Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 0 Mito Hollyhock (2020-11-04)

L Avispa Fukuoka 0 - 1 Mito Hollyhock (2020-08-19)

D Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Mito Hollyhock (2019-07-27)

H2H record: evenly matched (5W 7D 5L)

Tactical Points

Avispa Fukuoka's vulnerability at home is evident. Their recent home record stands at 1 win and 2 losses (33%), and they are conceding 1.6 goals per match, indicating weak defensive stability. However, their 1.4 goals per match slightly outpaces their opponent by 0.2 goals. Mito Hollyhock maintains a 1 win and 1 loss record (50%) away from home, conceding 1.7 goals per match against scoring 1.2 goals. Both teams show defensive concerns, but Avispa Fukuoka faces added psychological pressure from their current three-game losing streak. For Mito Hollyhock, three scoreless matches in their last ten games suggest their attacking consistency is incomplete. A contrast between the home team's poor form and the away team's relative stability is likely to emerge.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 54.3%

2. Home 1st goal win: 77%

3. Pattern: 7267 matches

TrendSoccer Prediction

	Probability
Avispa Fukuoka	███████████░░░░░ 67%
Draw	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 20%
Mito Hollyhock	██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 13%

Detail	Analysis
Prediction	Home Win
Grade	PASS
Odds	2.01 / 3.27 / 3.75
Power Index	Avispa Fukuoka 92 vs Mito Hollyhock 93
Pattern	1-3-2 (7267 matches)

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J1 League Preview: Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock Form Guide