AZ Alkmaar vs Noah: Conference League Response After 1-0 Setback
AZ's 27 unbeaten from 30 home meets Noah's 8 unbeaten from 10 away. After 0-1 first leg, 73% UECL home wins—AZ 1-0 expected.
AZ Alkmaar vs Noah: Response After 1-0 Setback
A UEFA Europa Conference League playoff second leg at AFAS Stadium. A week can change the feel of a tie. AZ controlled long stretches in Yerevan yet trailed at full time, and now the Dutch side must turn control into cutting edge against a Noah team that showed real discipline and a punch on the break.
First Leg Analysis (1-0 Noah Win)
Noah edged the first meeting 1-0 through Hovhannes Hambardzumyan on 53 minutes—a strike that punctured what had largely been AZ territory.
Match statistics:
- ●Possession: AZ 70% vs Noah 30%
- ●Dangerous attacks: AZ 45 vs Noah 24
- ●Shots: Noah 13 vs AZ 9
- ●On target: Noah 4 vs AZ 3
That split says plenty about the story: structure and economy from hosts (Noah), territory without final touch from visitors (AZ).
Noah translated smaller share of ball into clearer looks. AZ's 70% possession, 45 dangerous attacks—yet came away empty.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
Last 6: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses—balanced. Averaging 1.33 goals while conceding 1.33. With 13 shots, 4.67 on target, 49.67% possession.
Home last 3: 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses—unbeaten. Averaging 1.67 scored, 1.0 conceded, 5.33 on target.
27 unbeaten from 30 home (90%)—impressive record.
Noah
Last 6: 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses—mirrors equilibrium. Averaging 1.0 goal while conceding 1.17. With 15.33 shots, 5.17 on target, 53.5% possession—evidence of a side comfortable building as well as absorbing.
20 unbeaten from 25 (80%), 8 unbeaten from 10 away (80%)—steel.
But 14 winless from 17 away (82%)—underscores how often they lean on draws on the road.
🏆 UEFA Conference League League Phase Comparison
AZ Alkmaar (14th Place)
- ●6 Matches: 3W 1D 2L
- ●Goals Scored: 7 (1.17 per game)
- ●Goals Conceded: 7 (1.17 per game)
- ●Goal Difference: ±0
Noah (19th Place)
- ●6 Matches: 2W 2D 2L
- ●Goals Scored: 6 (1.0 per game)
- ●Goals Conceded: 7 (1.17 per game)
- ●Goal Difference: -1
Both clubs reflect relatively tight contests, with margins rarely stretching.
Key Stats Comparison
Attacking Metrics
- ●Goals per game: AZ 1.33 vs Noah 1.0 (last 6)
- ●Home goals: AZ 1.67 (last 3)
- ●Shots: AZ 13 vs Noah 15.33
- ●On target: AZ 4.67 vs Noah 5.17
- ●Home on target: AZ 5.33
Possession & Style
- ●Possession: AZ 49.67% vs Noah 53.5% (last 6)
- ●First leg: AZ 70%
Defensive Metrics
- ●Goals conceded: AZ 1.33 vs Noah 1.17 (last 6)
- ●Home conceded: AZ 1.0 (last 3)
- ●UECL home clean sheets: AZ 60% from 20 (12 matches)
- ●Away clean sheets: Noah 43% from 7 (3 matches)
📊 Key Trends
AZ Alkmaar
- ●27 unbeaten from 30 home (90%)
- ●73% wins from 15 UECL home (11 wins)
- ●13 unbeaten from 15 UECL home (87%)
- ●60% clean sheets from 20 UECL home (12 matches)
- ●40% wins by 2+ from 15 UECL home (6 matches)
- ●50% wins from 20 UECL (10 wins)
- ●6 wins by 2+ from 12 UECL (50%)
- ●First leg: 0-1 away loss
Noah
- ●20 unbeaten from 25 (80%)
- ●8 unbeaten from 10 away (80%)
- ●43% clean sheets from 7 away (3 matches) - Low-error approach
- ●⚠️ 14 winless from 17 away (82%) - Draw reliance
- ●First leg: 1-0 home win
Tactical Analysis
AZ's 4-2-3-1 Adjustment
Pascal Jansen's 4-2-3-1 seeks cleaner spacing in final third. First leg showed they can progress the ball, but conversion of 9 shots and 3 on target from 70% possession was below par relative to recent averages.
Width and second-line runs should be correction, along with quicker shots after regains.
Troy Parrott and Jizz Hornkamp lead attack. Ro-Zangelo Daal and Isak Jensen provide creativity between lines.
Kasius, Clasie, Mijnans absences affect options.
Noah's 4-4-2 Structure
Manager's tight back four and double pivot mix served them well. In transition they created better looks.
Will again look to Nardin Mulahusejnovic's hold-up and direct running from Marin Jakolis or Matheus Aiás.
Set pieces loom large given how compact both teams defend in open play.
Probable Lineups
AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1)
- ●GK: Jeroen Zoet
- ●DF: Elijah Dijkstra, Alexandre Penetra, Wouter Goes, Mees de Wit
- ●DM: Peer Koopmeiners, Kasper Boogaard - Double pivot
- ●AM: Isak Jensen, Troy Parrott, Ro-Zangelo Daal
- ●FW: Jizz Hornkamp
Out: Kasius, Clasie, Mijnans
Noah (4-4-2)
- ●GK: Timothy Fayulu
- ●DF: Eric Boakye, Gonçalo Silva, Nathanaël Saintini, David Sualehe
- ●MF: Takuto Oshima, Hélder Ferreira, Marin Jakolis, Hovhannes Harutyunyan - First leg decisive
- ●FW: Nardin Mulahusejnovic, Matheus Aiás
💡 Key Battles
1. AZ's AFAS Home Resilience
90% unbeaten from 30 home, 73% UECL home wins. AZ are difficult to overcome at AFAS.
2. Noah's Away Draw Reliance
82% winless from 17 away, but 80% unbeaten. Noah lean on draws away.
3. First Leg's 1-Goal Deficit
AZ trail 1 goal on aggregate. Must overturn at home.
TrendSoccer Analysis
AZ Alkmaar home win appears likely.
AZ's Conference League home resilience (87% UECL home unbeaten from 15, 73% wins), 60% clean sheet rate from 20 UECL home, and Noah's tendency to draw away tilt this toward narrow home success.
Control of territory and one decisive moment restoring parity in the tie.
Final analysis: AZ Alkmaar 1-0 Win (1-1 on aggregate, extra time or penalties)