CF Montreal vs DC United: Major League Soccer Match Preview

CF Montreal faces DC United on August 16 at 08:30 KST in an MLS matchup with contrasting form trajectories. Montreal has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, posting a 33% home conversion rate. DC United shows stability with 1 win and 4 draws (zero losses) in recent play, but their 22% away record presents vulnerability. The power index favors DC United by 8 points, while the head-to-head record tilts toward Montreal at 7-7-6 across 20 meetings.

Recent Form

CF Montreal

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 15

DC United

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 6D 1L
Goals / Conceded	22 / 20

Major League Soccer Season Record

	CF Montreal (Home)	DC United (Away)
W-D-L	3-3-3	2-5-2
Win Rate	33%	22%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	CF Montreal	DC United
Goals/Game	1.2	2.2
Conceded/Game	1.5	2.0
Over 2.5	40%	70%
BTTS	40%	90%
Clean Sheet	30%	10%

Head-to-Head

CF Montreal Wins	Draws	DC United Wins	Total
7	7	6	20

Recent Meetings

D CF Montreal 4 - 4 DC United (2026-05-23)

D CF Montreal 1 - 1 DC United (2025-08-16)

D CF Montreal 0 - 0 DC United (2025-03-15)

H2H record: evenly matched (7W 7D 6L)

Tactical Points

Montreal's recent decline is evident in their form: 3 draws in the last five games correlates with scoring difficulties, averaging just 1.2 goals per match. Their 1.5 goals-against average suggests defensive stability remains intact. Home record (3W-3D-3L) appears balanced but is undermined by current poor form. DC United averages 2.2 goals per game—one more than Montreal—while conceding 2.0, indicating an aggressive, high-tempo approach on both ends. Their away record (2W-5D-2P, 22%) reflects low win conversion, but five draws in that sample underscore tendency toward stalemate outcomes rather than defeats.

Key Factors

●
Scoring Disparity and Draw Propensity DC United's 2.2 goals-per-game average is 83% higher than Montreal's 1.2 mark. Yet five draws in away fixtures suggest they prioritize defensive solidity under pressure. Montreal's recent three draws in five games echo the same pattern—both teams display either lack of decisiveness or defensive resilience, elevating draw probability significantly.
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Home-Away Performance Asymmetry Montreal has won 3 at home versus DC United's 2 away wins, a 5-game margin favoring the hosts. However, Montreal's goalless form streak likely nullifies this advantage. DC United's away stability—a 63% draw rate in away sample—indicates they manage matches defensively and minimize concession risk.
●
Power Index Edge vs. Concession Rate Tension DC United holds an 8-point power index advantage (52 vs. 44), yet concedes 2.0 goals per match—a high league figure. Montreal's anemic 1.2-goal output makes it difficult to exploit this vulnerability, pushing expectations toward a low-scoring, defensive contest where DC United controls possession without surrendering goals.

TrendSoccer Prediction

	Probability
CF Montreal	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 34%
Draw	██████░░░░░░░░░░ 35%
DC United	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 31%

Detail	Analysis
Prediction	Skip
Grade	PASS
Odds	2.19 / 3.52 / 3
Power Index	CF Montreal 44 vs DC United 52

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CF Montreal vs DC United — What the Data Says | Major League Soccer