Chelsea vs Everton: The Challenge at Stamford Bridge, 17 Unbeaten in 20 Home Games vs. Inconsistent Away Form

In the Premier League's 16th round, Chelsea hosts Everton at Stamford Bridge on December 13. 5th-placed Chelsea (25 points) and 7th-placed Everton (24 points) clash, separated by only one point in the battle for a top spot.

Chelsea (5th)

• ●15 Games: 7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses
• ●Goals Scored/Conceded: 25 goals scored, 15 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +10
• ●Points: 25 points
• ●Average per Game: 1.67 goals scored / 1 goal conceded

Everton (7th)

• ●15 Games: 7 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses
• ●Goals Scored/Conceded: 18 goals scored, 17 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +1
• ●Points: 24 points
• ●Average per Game: 1.2 goals scored / 1.13 goals conceded

The records are really similar. The number of wins is the same, and the points difference is only 1. Chelsea is slightly ahead in scoring ability.

Chelsea's Home Strength

They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 6 games. They have scored 1.67 goals per game and conceded only 0.67 goals. The defense is solid.

Shots: 15 Possession: 58%

They are even stronger at home:

• ●Recent 3 Home Games: 2 wins, 1 draw
• ●Average per Game: 2.33 goals scored / 0.33 goals conceded

Their long-term home record is excellent:

• ●Recent 20 Home Games Overall: 85% unbeaten (17 games)
• ●Recent 12 Home Games: 58% clean sheets (7 games)
• ●Recent 30 Home League Games: 87% unbeaten (26 games)

Against Everton:

• ●Recent 11 Home Games: 5 games won by 2 or more goals (45%)

Although they are on a 3-game winless streak, they are stable at home.

Everton's Inconsistent Away Form

They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 6 games. It's a really good flow. They have scored 1.5 goals per game and conceded 0.83 goals.

Shots: 9.83 (low) Possession: 42.67% (low)

They are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 games.

Their away record is mixed:

• ●Recent 12 Away Games Overall: 6 wins (50%)
• ●Recent 8 Away Games: 4 losses
• ●Shots on Target per Away Game: 3.25 (lack of scoring ability)

Recent 6 Encounters:

• ●3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (Chelsea basis)

Chelsea has had the upper hand recently. But the games have always been close.

Chelsea's 4-2-3-1

Enzo Maresca's team is stable at home. João Pedro moves at the forefront, and Palmer and Neto threaten from the flanks.

Fernandes and James dominate the midfield, and Fofana and Chalobah lead the defense. Their offensive power, scoring 2.33 goals per game at home, is a weapon.

Injured: Dellap, Estevão, Colwill, Mudryk, Disasi, Caicedo, Lavia (many!)

Everton's 4-2-3-1

David Moyes' team has been in good flow recently. Vardy is responsible for finishing at the forefront, and Grealish and Ndiaye attack from the flanks.

Garner and Dewsbury-Hall guard the midfield, and Tarkowski and Keane lead the defense. Although possession is low, they play efficient football.

Injured: Røhl, Branthwaite

1. Chelsea's Home Offense

They are scoring 2.33 goals per game at home. The performance of Palmer and João Pedro is key. Can they break through Everton's defense?

2. Everton's Unbeaten Streak

They are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 games. Moyes' organization is shining. Can they withstand Chelsea at home?

3. Midfield Dominance

Chelsea's Fernandes vs Everton's Garner. The midfield battle will likely determine the outcome. Chelsea will try to dominate the game with 58% possession.

analysis Probability:

• ●Chelsea Win: 34%
• ●Predicted Score: 1-0

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Chelsea. Home record and scoring ability are decisive factors. But Everton's recent form makes it really close.

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Sánchez
• ●DF: Gusto, Fofana, Chalobah, Cucurella
• ●MF: James, Fernandes
• ●AM: Estevão, Palmer, Neto
• ●FW: João Pedro

⚠️ Missing Players: Dellap, Estevão, Colwill, Mudryk, Disasi, Caicedo, Lavia

Everton (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Pickford
• ●DF: O'Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko
• ●MF: Garner, Dewsbury-Hall
• ●AM: Ndiaye, Alcaraz, Grealish
• ●FW: Vardy

⚠️ Missing Players: Merlin Røhl, Jarrad Branthwaite

A really close game is expected. Chelsea is unbeaten in 17 of their last 20 home games, and Everton is unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 games. Both are in good flow.

The predicted score is 1-0 for Chelsea. This is a scenario where Chelsea dominates possession at home and decides the game with one goal. Palmer or João Pedro will likely score the winning goal.

Chelsea is on a 3-game winless streak, but they are stable at home. Everton's recent form is good, but it will be difficult to win at Stamford Bridge.

It will likely be a low-scoring game. Everton lacks scoring ability with 3.25 shots on target per away game. Chelsea's defense is solid, conceding 0.33 goals per game at home.

It's a really important game as it's a battle for a top spot. If Chelsea wins, they will further solidify their 5th place, and if Everton wins, they can overtake Chelsea.

Chelsea has many injured players. The midfield has weakened without Caicedo and Lavia. This could be a variable.