Como vs Udinese: The Emerging Force Flying High at Home

The 6th and 10th place teams meet. Como is causing a sensation this season. They've secured 7 wins in 16 games, placing them in the upper ranks. This match, held at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on January 3rd, can Como, invincible at home, secure another win against Udinese, who struggle away from home?

Calcio Como (6th)

• ●Season Record: 7 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses (16 games) / Goal Difference: +10
• ●Goals Scored: 1.38 goals per game / Goals Conceded: 0.75 goals per game
• ●Recent 3 Home Games: 2 wins, 1 draw (Undefeated!)
• ●Average Goals Scored at Home: 1.67 goals / Average Goals Conceded at Home: 0.33 goals
• ●Home Possession: 69.67% / Shots: 14 / Shots on Target: 8
• ●Recent 12 Games: 83% Undefeated
• ●Recent 20 Home Games: 80% Undefeated
• ●Clean Sheets in Recent 17 Home Games: 41%

Como is having a truly impressive season. A promoted team in 6th place! They are especially fearsome at home. 80% of their 20 games have been undefeated. They are a team that completely dominates the game with nearly 70% possession. They also only concede 0.33 goals per game at home. The Sinigaglia has become a true fortress.

Udinese (10th)

• ●Season Record: 6 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses (17 games) / Goal Difference: Negative
• ●Goals Conceded: 28 goals (Twice as many as Como!)
• ●Goals Scored: 1.06 goals per game / Goals Conceded: 1.65 goals per game
• ●Recent 7 Away Games: 6 Games Without a Win (86%)
• ●Recent 3 Away Games: 1 win, 2 losses / Average Goals Conceded: 2.33 goals
• ●Away Possession: 42% (Low)
• ●Recent 15 League Away Games: 60% Loss
• ●Recent 20 Away Games: 40% Lost by 2 or More Goals

Udinese is struggling away from home. They haven't won 6 out of 7 games. Conceding 28 goals means they are conceding 1.65 goals per game. Twice as many as Como. They only manage 42% possession away from home and concede 2.33 goals per game. With this record, it seems really difficult to hold out at Como's home.

The recent 2 games have been tight.

• ●1 win each (Balanced)

There isn't a big difference in head-to-head records. But looking at their current form, Como is far ahead. With Como undefeated in 80% of their home games and Udinese winless in 86% of their away games, the result is obvious.

Como's Home Domination

Marco Cassetti's Como is fearsome at home. They are likely to be aggressive with a 4-2-3-1 formation.

Dubickas will be the lone striker, with Nico Paz and Vattuliina moving on the flanks and in the center. Perrone and Da Cunha will be responsible for the midfield.

They are a team that completely dominates the game with nearly 70% possession. With 14 shots and 8 shots on target, they have plenty of attacking options. It will be difficult for the Udinese defense to withstand the entire 90 minutes.

It's a shame that Morata and Diao are out, but Dubickas can adequately replace them.

Udinese's Away Survival

Coach Costa Runjaic also has a lot to worry about. They haven't won 6 out of 7 away games. They are likely to be defensive with a 3-5-2 formation.

Zaniolo and Davis will form the two-top. Piotrowski and Carlstrom will be responsible for the midfield, and Zanoli and Bertola will take charge of the flanks as wing-backs.

The problem is possession. They only manage 42% away from home. If Como takes nearly 70%, Udinese's attacking opportunities will be reduced. They have to bet everything on counterattacks.

1. Como's Possession Domination

Como takes nearly 70% possession at home. Udinese only manages 42% away from home. This gap will determine the flow of the game. If Udinese can't get the ball, they won't have any attacking opportunities.

2. Udinese's Defensive Instability

Udinese concedes 2.33 goals per game away from home. Como is a team that scores 1.67 goals at home. Cabal and Sule will have to stop Como's attack, but it won't be easy. They could be particularly vulnerable in set pieces.

3. Zaniolo's Counterattack Efficiency

If Udinese wants to win, counterattacks are the only answer. If Zaniolo comes alive, he can score at least one goal. But it doesn't seem easy because Como's defense only concedes 0.75 goals per game.

Como Home Trends

• ●Recent 20 Home Games: 80% Undefeated
• ●Recent 12 Games: 83% Undefeated
• ●Clean Sheets in Recent 17 Home Games: 41%
• ●Home Possession: 69.67%

Udinese Away Trends

• ●Recent 7 Away Games: 86% Without a Win (6 games)
• ●Recent 15 League Away Games: 60% Loss
• ●Recent 20 Away Games: 40% Lost by 2 or More Goals
• ●Away Possession: 42%

The numbers overwhelmingly point to Como. When a team that is 80% undefeated at home meets a team that is 86% winless away, the result is obvious. It is also important that Udinese has lost by 2 or more goals in 40% of their 20 games.

Como Out

• ●Goldaniga, Diego Carlos, Adai, Morata, Diao

Udinese Out

• ●Baggio, Modesto, Zemura, Goglić, Bravo

Both teams are missing 5 players. It's a shame that Como is missing Morata, but Dubickas can replace him. Udinese's attacking options are limited because Baggio is out.

Como (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Vitez
• ●DF: Posch, Hacobo Ramon, Kempf, Alex Valle
• ●MF: Perrone, Da Cunha, Nico Paz, Jesus Rodriguez, Vattuliina
• ●FW: Dubickas

Udinese (3-5-2)

• ●GK: Okoye
• ●DF: Kristensen, Cabal, Sule
• ●MF: Zanoli, Piotrowski, Carlstrom, Ekelenkamp, Bertola
• ●FW: Zaniolo, Davis

Predicted Score: Como 3-1 Udinese

Como win. The probability is 40%.

Como will dominate the game from the first half. They will press with 70% possession and pour in shots. Dubickas will score the opening goal, and Nico Paz or Vattuliina can score additional goals.

Udinese can also score about one goal from Zaniolo in a counterattack. But the defense is so unstable that Como will score more. A 3-1 complete victory is the most realistic scenario.

It is very likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored. Como scores 1.67 goals per game at home, and Udinese concedes 2.33 goals away. It seems like it will be a fun game with lots of goals.

It's a good opportunity for Como fans to solidify their 6th place. The promoted team's sensation continues. Udinese fans have to endure even in these stadiums to break their away struggles, but honestly, it doesn't seem easy.

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