Cremonese vs Lecce: Mid-Table Clash at the Stadio Giovanni Zini

In Serie A Round 14, Cremonese hosts Lecce at the Stadio Giovanni Zini on December 7th. 10th-placed Cremonese (17 points) and 14th-placed Lecce (13 points). Both teams are stagnating in mid-table, and this match could be an opportunity to bounce back.

Cremonese (10th)

• ●13 Games: 4 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 16 goals scored, 17 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -1
• ●Points: 17 points
• ●Average per Game: 1.23 goals scored / 1.31 goals conceded

Lecce (14th)

• ●13 Games: 3 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 10 goals scored, 17 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -7
• ●Points: 13 points
• ●Average per Game: 0.77 goals scored / 1.31 goals conceded

Lecce's scoring ability is truly dire. They're only scoring 0.77 goals per game. Cremonese has a similar balance between attack and defense.

Cremonese's Home Struggles

They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 6 games. They've scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.33 goals per game. It's an average performance.

Their home form is concerning:

• ●Recent 3 Home Games: 1 point
• ●Average per Game: 1 goal scored

Long-term Record:

• ●Last 40 Games Overall: 32 games undefeated (80%)
• ●Last 11 Games: 9 games without a win (82%)
• ●Last 10 Home Games: 8 games without a win (80%)

However, their home defense is decent:

• ●Last 10 Home Games: 40% Clean Sheets (4 games)

Their possession is below 50% on average. They lack control of the game.

Lecce's Away Nightmare

They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 6 games. They've only scored 0.83 goals per game. Their scoring ability is at rock bottom.

Away Record:

• ●Recent 3 Away Games: 1 goal scored / 1.67 goals conceded

Their long-term away record is dismal:

• ●Last 30 Games Away Overall: 80% without a win (24 games)
• ●Last 12 Away League Games: 6 losses
• ●Last 7 Away Games: 3 games lost by a margin of 2 or more goals (43%)

Their possession is also below 50% on average.

The most recent match (February 4, 2023):

• ●2-0 Lecce win (Lecce away)

Baschirotto scored in the 58th minute, and Strefezza scored in the 69th minute. Lecce's counter-attacks exploited Cremonese's weaknesses.

Recent 4 Games at Cremonese's Home:

• ●2 games won by a margin of 2 or more goals

Cremonese used to be strong at home. But not recently.

Cremonese's 3-4-3

The team under coach Giovanni Stroppa has been struggling recently. Bady and Vasquez aim to score at the forefront, with Zanimacchia and Valeri supporting from the flanks.

Baschirotto and Bianchetti lead the defense. Their home clean sheet rate is decent at 40%, but the problem is scoring goals.

Injured: Bondo, Coccolo

Lecce's 4-2-3-1

Coach Luca Gotti is suffering from a lack of scoring ability. Krstovic is struggling at the forefront, but support is lacking.

Gendrey and Banda attack from the flanks, while Ramadani and Kulić keep the midfield in check. But they're only scoring 0.83 goals per game.

Injured: Pierotti

1. Cremonese's Home Winless Streak

They haven't won 8 of their last 10 home games. There's no home advantage. But they used to be strong at home against Lecce.

2. Lecce's Lack of Scoring Ability

They're only scoring 0.83 goals per game. It's even worse away from home. It'll be difficult to break through Cremonese's defense (40% clean sheets).

3. Possibility of a Draw

Cremonese has had many draws at home recently, and Lecce is weak away from home. Both teams have possession below 50%, so it will be a tight match.

analysis Probability:

• ●Draw: 38%
• ●Predicted Score: 1-1

The algorithm is predicting a draw. Cremonese's home winless streak and Lecce's away struggles suggest a draw is likely.

Cremonese (3-4-3)

• ●GK: Sarr
• ●DF: Antov, Baschirotto, Bianchetti
• ●MF: Zanimacchia, Castagnetti, Pickel, Sernicola
• ●FW: Buonaiuto, Coda, Vasquez

⚠️ Out: Bondo, Coccolo

Lecce (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Falcone
• ●DF: Gendrey, Pongracic, Baschirotto, Gallo
• ●MF: Ramadani, Kulić
• ●AM: Almqvist, Oudin, Banda
• ●FW: Krstovic

⚠️ Out: Pierotti

A very tight match is expected. Cremonese hasn't won 8 of their last 10 home games, and Lecce hasn't won 24 of their last 30 away games. Both teams are struggling.

The predicted score is a 1-1 draw. Both teams lack scoring ability, and their defenses are decent. Cremonese will score first at home, but Lecce will score an equalizer in the second half in this scenario.

Their recent 6-game records are also the same (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They're truly similar teams. Possession is also below 50% for both, so the midfield battle will be fierce.

It's a mid-table clash, so it's truly cautious. Both teams might prefer a draw to losing. They will aim for a safe draw.

With Lecce's scoring ability (0.77 goals), it'll be difficult to break through Cremonese's home defense (40% clean sheets). A low-scoring draw is highly likely.