Crystal Palace vs Burnley: Draw Specialists Meet at Selhurst Park in Relegation Battle
PREVIEWWednesday, February 11, 2026·1.5K

Crystal Palace vs Burnley: Draw Specialists Meet at Selhurst Park in Relegation Battle

Palace (12 winless in 15 home) host Burnley (12 winless in 15 away). Both draw-prone - 43% draw probability.

TrendSoccer
Football Data Analyst

Crystal Palace vs Burnley: Draw Specialists Collide

Selhurst Park hosts a Premier League clash between two sides desperate for victory. Palace, 12 winless in 15 home, face Burnley, 12 winless in 15 away. Draw is the most likely outcome.

📊 Previous Meeting (December)

Crystal Palace 1-0 Burnley (at Burnley)

Palace secured a narrow away win. Burnley dominated with 58% possession and 55 vs 35 dangerous attacks but failed to score. Palace made all 3 shots count — clinical efficiency.

  • Muñoz (before halftime) winner

Burnley dominated but lacked finishing. Palace need defensive focus to avoid reversal at home.

📊

Recent Form

Crystal Palace - Home Struggles

Glasner's Palace show 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses in 6 — poor. Averaging 0.83 goals and 1.33 conceded — attack severely lacking.

Home is worse: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 3 at Selhurst Park — winless. Broader view shows 12 winless in 15 home league, 6 draws in 12 home, and 4 losses in 8 home — not a fortress.

Mateta, Kamada, Nketiah, Kporha are out injured.

Burnley - Away Impotent

Parker's Burnley show 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses in 6 — mixed. Averaging 1.67 goals and 1.83 conceded — defense leaky. Being 4 consecutive winless.

Away is dire: 12 winless in 15 away, 50% 2+ conceded in 20 away — attack exists (1.67 goals) but defense fails.

Tresor, Cullen, Amdouni are out injured.

📈

Key Stats Comparison

Attacking Metrics

  • Last 6 games goals: Palace 0.83 vs Burnley 1.67
  • Season total: Palace 26
  • Season per game: Palace 1.04

Defensive Metrics

  • Last 6 games conceded: Palace 1.33 vs Burnley 1.83
  • Season conceded: Palace 29
  • Away 2+ conceded (20 games): Burnley 50%

Season Records

  • Palace: 8W 8D 9L (13th)
  • Burnley: 3W 6D 16L (19th)

Winless Records

  • Palace home: 12 winless in 15 ⚠️
  • Palace home: 6 draws in 12
  • Burnley: 4 consecutive winless ⚠️
  • Burnley away: 12 winless in 15

🏆 Premier League Standings

Crystal Palace (13th)

With 8 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses from 25, Palace sit 13th with 26 scored and 29 conceded — mid-table but 12 winless in 15 home is concerning. Points needed to distance from relegation zone.

Burnley (19th)

Burnley's 3 wins, 6 draws, 16 losses places them 19th (relegation zone). Conceding far more than scoring means high relegation danger. Being 12 winless in 15 away makes Selhurst points difficult.

⚔️

Head-to-Head

  • This season: Palace 1-0 win (at Burnley)
  • Palace shot efficiency: 100% (3/3)
  • Burnley possession: 58%, dangerous attacks: 55 vs 35

Palace won the first meeting despite Burnley's dominance. Similar pattern is expected — efficiency vs control.

🎯

Tactical Preview

Palace's Home Win Push

Glasner's 3-4-2-1 sees Lacroix and Richards in central defense. Lerma and Wharton control midfield. Sarr, Pino, and Johnson lead the attack. 4 attacking injuries are severe. With 12 winless in 15 home, victory is essential, but 0.83 goals shows attacking poverty.

Burnley's Away Challenge

Parker's 3-4-2-1 sees Estève, Humphreys, and Tuanzebe in the back three. Walker and Florentino anchor midfield. Edwards, Anthony, and Broja lead the attack. Tresor and others missing but better squad than Palace. Must break 12 winless in 15 away, but 1.83 conceded shows defensive vulnerability.

👥

Probable Lineups

Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)

  • GK: Henderson
  • DF: Lacroix, Richards, Canvot
  • MF: Muñoz, Mitchell, Lerma, Wharton
  • AM: Sarr, Pino
  • FW: Johnson

Burnley (3-4-2-1)

  • GK: Dúbravka
  • DF: Estève, Humphreys, Tuanzebe
  • MF: Walker, Florentino, Ugochukwu, Pires
  • AM: Edwards, Anthony
  • FW: Broja

💡 Key Battles

1. Both Sides' Winless Tendency

Palace 12 winless in 15 home, Burnley 12 winless in 15 away — both sides can't produce wins. Draw is highly probable.

2. Palace's Attack Poverty

Averaging 0.83 goals with 4 attacking injuries — Palace struggle to score badly. Multiple goals against Burnley's defense (1.83 conceded) may be difficult.

3. Burnley's Defensive Issues

Being 50% 2+ conceded in 20 away — Burnley's away defense collapses. Even Palace's limited chances may yield goals.

📈

TrendSoccer Analysis

Palace Win
28%
Draw
43%
Burnley Win
29%

Draw is the most likely outcome. Palace's 12 winless in 15 home meets Burnley's 12 winless in 15 away — nearly identical records. Burnley's 50% draws in 10 league and Palace's 6 draws in 12 home show tendency.

Both sides lack finishing for a low-scoring draw. Palace scoring one from limited chances while Burnley also scores one is most likely. Final analysis: 1-1 draw

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