Crystal Palace vs KuPS: The Challenge at Selhurst Park, 17 Unbeaten in 20 Home Games vs 8 Unbeaten in 10 Away Games

In the UEFA Europa Conference League group stage Round 6, Crystal Palace hosts KuPS on December 18th at Selhurst Park. Palace is performing well with 3 wins and 2 losses, while KuPS has many draws with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss.

Crystal Palace

• ●5 Games: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 9 goals scored / 4 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +5
• ●Average per game: 1.8 goals scored / 0.8 goals conceded

KuPS

• ●5 Games: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss
• ●Goals For/Against: 4 goals scored / 3 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +1
• ●Average per game: 0.8 goals scored / 0.6 goals conceded

Palace is overwhelmingly superior in scoring ability. KuPS has a lot of draws (3).

Crystal Palace's Mixed Form

In the last 6 games, they recorded 3 wins and 3 losses. They scored 1.33 goals and conceded 1.33 goals per game.

Shots: 14.67 Possession: 43.67% (Low but many shots)

Recent 3 Home Games:

• ●1 draw, 2 losses (Poor)
• ●Average per game: 0.33 goals scored (Goal drought!)

However, their long-term home record is good:

• ●Last 40 games overall: 32 games undefeated (80%)
• ●Last 20 games at home overall: 17 games undefeated (85%)

Conference League:

• ●Last 7 games: 57% win rate (4 wins)
• ●Last 7 games: 3 games won by 2 or more goals (43%)

KuPS' Draw Specialists

In the last 6 games, they recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. They scored 1.5 goals and conceded only 0.83 goals per game. Their defense is solid.

Possession: 54.5% (Higher than Palace) Shots: 12.33

They are really strong away from home:

• ●Last 10 away games overall: 8 games undefeated (80%)
• ●Last 22 away games overall: 41% clean sheets (9 games)

Long-term record:

• ●Last 40 games overall: 53% win rate (21 wins)
• ●Last 30 games overall: 24 games undefeated (80%)
• ●Last 13 away games: 38% won by 2 or more goals (5 games)

Conference League:

• ●Last 10 games: 50% draw rate (5 games)
• ●Last 15 games: 12 draws (80%)

Crystal Palace's 3-4-2-1

The team under manager Oliver Glasner is direct. Mateta is responsible for scoring at the forefront, supported by Pino and Nketiah.

Wharton and Kamada dominate the midfield, while Lacroix and Guehi lead the defense. Possession is low (43.67%), but there are many shots (14.67).

Injured Players: Kphorha, Ahamada, Munoz

KuPS' 4-2-3-1

The team under manager Jarkko Wiss plays possession-based football. Parzyszek is responsible for finishing at the forefront, with Toure and Pennanen attacking from the flanks.

Oksanen and Arifi guard the midfield, while Cisse and Miettinen lead the defense. They control the tempo with 54.5% possession.

1. Palace's Home Record

They are unbeaten in 17 of their last 20 home games. However, their recent 3 home games have been poor with 1 draw and 2 losses. The problem is the goal drought (0.33 goals per game).

2. KuPS' Draw Expertise

5 out of 10 Conference League games have been draws. They are unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 away games. There is a high possibility of ending in a draw.

3. Clash of Styles

Palace attacks quickly (14.67 shots), while KuPS controls the tempo with possession (54.5%). Which style will win?

analysis Probability:

• ●Palace Win: 48%
• ●Predicted Score: 1-0

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Palace. The home record and Conference League performance are decisive factors. But KuPS' draw expertise and undefeated away streak make it really close.

Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Henderson
• ●DF: Richards, Lacroix, Guehi
• ●MF: Klein, Wharton, Kamada, Mitchell
• ●AM: Pino, Nketiah
• ●FW: Mateta

⚠️ Out: Kaleb Kphorha, Naouirou Ahamada, Daniel Munoz

KuPS (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Kreidl
• ●DF: Arima, Cisse, Miettinen, Antwi
• ●MF: Oksanen, Arifi
• ●AM: Toure, Pennanen, Loupio
• ●FW: Parzyszek

A really tight game is expected. Palace is unbeaten in 17 of their last 20 home games, but their recent 3 home games have been poor with 1 draw and 2 losses. KuPS is unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 away games.

The predicted score is 1-0, a Palace victory. This is the scenario where Palace narrowly wins at home. Mateta will likely score the winning goal.

However, the possibility of a draw is also very high. KuPS has drawn 5 out of 10 Conference League games. They can stop Palace by controlling the tempo with possession.

Palace is currently in a goal drought at home (0.33 goals per game). It will not be easy to penetrate KuPS' solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per game).

It looks like it will be a low-scoring game. KuPS has recorded a clean sheet in 41% of their away games. Palace also has a solid defense, conceding 0.8 goals per game in the Conference League.

The clash of styles is also interesting. Palace shoots 14.67 times with 43.67% possession, while KuPS shoots 12.33 times with 54.5% possession. It's a battle of efficiency vs possession.

If Palace wins, they can almost confirm their place in the Round of 16 with 4 wins and 2 losses in the Conference League. Even if KuPS only gets a draw, they can increase their chances of breaking through the group stage.