Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar: Draw Specialists Meet

Stadion Woudestein hosts an Eredivisie clash between two mid-table sides. Excelsior, 4 draws in 6, face AZ, 83% winless in 6. Head-to-head balance suggests a draw.

Excelsior - Draw Specialists

Den Uil's Excelsior show 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss in 6 — many draws. Being 8 unbeaten in 10 is stable but 5 winless in 6 league shows lack of wins. Sitting 10th with 7W 5D 10L and -13 GD (24 scored, 37 conceded) from 22. Averaging 1.09 goals and 1.68 conceded.

Home is better: 1W 2D in 3 at Stadion Woudestein, averaging 2.0 goals and 1.67 conceded. With 52.67% possession, they control. Being 18 wins and 13 clean sheets in 30 home.

But vs AZ: 43% losses by 2+ in 7 shows vulnerability.

No injuries — best XI available.

AZ Alkmaar - Wins Lacking

Echteld's AZ show 83% winless in 6 (5 winless) — struggling. Being 3 consecutive winless. Their 82% winless in 11 Eredivisie is dire. Sitting 7th with 9W 6D 7L and +1 GD (37 scored, 36 conceded) from 22. Averaging 1.68 goals.

Away is dual: 53% wins in 15 but 50% losses in 14. But 40% clean sheets in 10 away shows defensive ability. With 13+ shots per game, attack is active.

Kasius, Meerdink, Mijnans, Clasie are out injured.

Attacking Metrics

• ●Season per game: Excelsior 1.09 vs AZ 1.68
• ●Home goals (last 3): Excelsior 2.0
• ●Season total: Excelsior 24 vs AZ 37
• ●Away shots: AZ 13+

Defensive Metrics

• ●Season per game: Excelsior 1.68 vs AZ 1.64
• ●Home conceded (last 3): Excelsior 1.67
• ●Away clean sheets (10 games): AZ 40%
• ●Home clean sheets (30 games): Excelsior 13

Season Records

• ●Excelsior: 7W 5D 10L (10th) GD -13
• ●AZ: 9W 6D 7L (7th) GD +1

Draw/Winless Records

• ●Excelsior: 4 draws in 6 ⚠️
• ●Excelsior: 8 unbeaten in 10 ✅
• ●AZ: 83% winless in 6 ⚠️
• ●AZ: 82% winless in 11 league

🏆 Eredivisie Standings

Excelsior (10th)

With 7W 5D 10L and -13 GD from 22, Excelsior sit 10th. Their 4 draws in 6 shows lack of wins but 8 unbeaten in 10 is stable. Points at home vs AZ targeted.

AZ Alkmaar (7th)

With 9W 6D 7L and +1 GD from 22, AZ sit 7th. Their 83% winless in 6 and 82% winless in 11 league shows slump. European spot competition lagging.

• ●Last 3: Excelsior 1W 1D 1L

H2H is completely balanced. Being 1W 1D 1L in 3 home shows neither dominates.

Excelsior's Home Push

Den Uil's 4-2-3-1 sees Bronkhorst, Meissen, Widell, and Zagré in defense. Hartjes and Yegoian anchor midfield. Jonathans, Hansson, and Naujoks provide creativity, with Bergraaf leading the line. No injuries — full squad vs AZ (83% winless) to leverage home advantage (18 wins in 30).

AZ's Away Survival

Echteld's 4-3-3 sees Goes, Penetra, de Wit, and Dekker in defense. Koopmeiners, Boogaard, and Sin control midfield. Parrott, Jensen, and Daal form the front three. 4 injuries and 83% winless makes winning vs Excelsior (8 unbeaten in 10) difficult. But 40% away clean sheets targets draw.

Excelsior (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: van Gassel
• ●DF: Bronkhorst, Meissen, Widell, Zagré
• ●DM: Hartjes, Yegoian
• ●AM: Jonathans, Hansson, Naujoks
• ●FW: Bergraaf

AZ Alkmaar (4-3-3)

• ●GK: Zoet
• ●DF: Goes, Penetra, de Wit, Dekker
• ●MF: Koopmeiners, Boogaard, Sin
• ●FW: Parrott, Jensen, Daal

💡 Key Battles

1. Both Lack Wins

Excelsior 4 draws in 6, AZ 83% winless in 6 — both lack wins for high draw probability.

2. Balanced H2H

1W 1D 1L in 3 home — neither dominates. Similar result is possible.

3. Both Can Score

Excelsior 2.0 home goals (3 games), AZ 1.68 (season) — both can score for BTTS expected.

Draw is the most likely outcome. Excelsior's 4 draws in 6 meets AZ's 83% winless in 6 — both sides have limiting factors. H2H 1W 1D 1L in 3 shows balance.

Both can score for BTTS expected. But both lack wins to decide match. Final analysis: 2-2 draw