FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln: Bundesliga Match Preview

In the late stages of the Bundesliga season, FC St. Pauli hosts 1. FC Köln on April 18 at 03:30 KST. St. Pauli has recorded 0 wins in their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses), while Köln shows similarly inconsistent form with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss over the same period. A significant 76-point power index gap separates the two sides, with St. Pauli's home advantage showing distinct statistical patterns worth monitoring. As the season enters its critical final phase, both teams' performance trajectories and competitive positioning will be instrumental in determining the match outcome.

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Recent Form

FC St. Pauli

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	8 / 18

1. FC Köln

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	15 / 18

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Bundesliga Season Record

	FC St. Pauli (Home)	1. FC Köln (Away)
W-D-L	4-4-4	2-3-7
Win Rate	33%	17%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	FC St. Pauli	1. FC Köln
Goals/Game	0.8	1.5
Conceded/Game	1.8	1.8
Over 2.5	60%	70%
BTTS	50%	80%
Clean Sheet	20%	10%

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Head-to-Head

FC St. Pauli Wins	Draws	1. FC Köln Wins	Total
1	2	6	9

Recent Meetings

무 FC St. Pauli 1 - 1 1. FC Köln (2025-12-06)

패 FC St. Pauli 1 - 4 1. FC Köln (2019-02-08)

패 FC St. Pauli 3 - 5 1. FC Köln (2018-09-02)

역대 전적: 1. FC Köln 우세 (6승 2무 1패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
FC St. Pauli	█████████░░░░░░░ 56%
Draw	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 31%
1. FC Köln	██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 13%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.6 / 3.2 / 2.72
Power Index	FC St. Pauli 105 vs 1. FC Köln 29
Pattern	1-2-3 (508 matches)

Tactical Points

St. Pauli faces a significant historical disadvantage against Köln, recording just 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses across all meetings. At home, their record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses (33% win rate), indicating inconsistent home performances. Offensively, the side averages only 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.8 goals per match—a pattern reflecting both weak attacking output and defensive vulnerability. Köln's away record is even more troubling at 2 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses (17% win rate), despite averaging 1.5 goals per match. The fact that both teams concede identical figures (1.8 goals per match) suggests comparable defensive standards, making attacking efficiency a decisive factor. With both sides showing poor form in the late season phase, neither team carries strong momentum into this fixture, creating tactical unpredictability.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 76pts

2. Prob edge: 42.4%

3. Home 1st goal win: 86%

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FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Köln Preview: Bundesliga Match Analysis