Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund: Clash of Ironclad Defenses

7th place meets 2nd place. There's a 5-place difference in the standings, but this match is more complex than the numbers suggest. Eintracht Frankfurt rarely loses at home, and Borussia Dortmund rarely loses anywhere. This match on January 9th at Deutsche Bank Park is expected to be a defensive war.

Eintracht Frankfurt (7th)

• ●Season Record: 7 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses (15 matches) / Goal Difference: 0 (30 goals scored, 30 goals conceded)
• ●Recent 6 Matches: 1 win (83% without a win!)
• ●Average Goals Scored: 0.67 goals (Drought!)/ Average Goals Conceded: 2.17 goals
• ●Recent 3 Home Matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss
• ●Home Shots: 11.67 / Shots on Target: 3.33 / Possession: 50%
• ●Recent 11 Home Bundesliga Matches: Undefeated in 9 matches (82%)
• ●League Clean Sheet in Recent 12 Home Matches: 50%

Eintracht Frankfurt is a peculiar team. They've remained undefeated in 82% of their 11 home matches, and have a 50% clean sheet record. However, they haven't won in 83% of their recent 6 matches. They're only scoring 0.67 goals per game. Their defense is good, but their attack is dead.

Borussia Dortmund (2nd)

• ●Season Record: 9 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss (15 matches) / Goal Difference: +14
• ●Goals Conceded: 12 goals ( 0.8 goals per game)
• ●Goals Scored: 1.73 goals per game
• ●Recent 4 Matches: Undefeated!
• ●Recent 30 Matches: Undefeated in 26 matches (87%)
• ●Recent 20 Away Matches: 80% Undefeated
• ●Recent 6 Away Matches: 50% Draws

Borussia Dortmund is stable. They are undefeated in 87% of their last 30 matches. They've only lost 1 out of 15 matches. Their defense is especially good. They are only conceding 0.8 goals per game. They've remained undefeated in 80% of their 20 away matches. But it should be remembered that 50% of their recent 6 away matches were draws.

Looking at the recent 6 matches at Deutsche Bank Park:

• ●Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 win / Draws: 3 times / Borussia Dortmund: 2 wins

Eintracht Frankfurt is struggling against Borussia Dortmund at home. They've only managed 1 win in 6 matches. There have been 3 draws. Draws are common in this matchup.

Eintracht Frankfurt's Home Resistance

Dino Toppmöller's Eintracht Frankfurt is a defensive team. They are likely to play with a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Knauff will likely play as the lone striker, with Bahoya and Dønnum supporting from the flanks. Götze and Dahoud will be responsible for the midfield, and Koch and Tuta will form the three-man defense.

They are a team that keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time at home. They need to hold defensively and aim for a counter-attack. The problem is that they're only scoring 0.67 goals per game. Knauff and Bahoya need to capitalize on their opportunities.

Borussia Dortmund's Away Attack

Niko Kovač's Borussia Dortmund is also likely to play with a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Guirassy will likely play as the lone striker, with Brandt and Adeyemi supporting from the flanks. Sabitzer and Özcan will be responsible for the midfield, and Schlotterbeck and Süle will form the three-man defense.

They have remained undefeated in 80% of their last 20 away matches. They score 1.73 goals per game while conceding only 0.8 goals. Both attack and defense are stable. Guirassy can penetrate Eintracht Frankfurt's defense.

1. Clash of Both Teams' Defensive Strengths

Eintracht Frankfurt keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time at home, and Borussia Dortmund only concedes 0.8 goals per game. Both teams have good defenses. It is unlikely that many goals will be scored. One goal could be the winning goal.

2. Eintracht Frankfurt's Goal Drought

Eintracht Frankfurt is only scoring 0.67 goals per game. It's even harder because Borussia Dortmund only concedes 0.8 goals per game. Knauff and Bahoya need to seize their opportunities in the counter-attack, but there won't be many chances.

3. Guirassy's Finishing

Guirassy is the core of Borussia Dortmund's attack. Koch and Tuta need to stop Guirassy, but it won't be easy. If they score just one goal, Borussia Dortmund will be at an advantage.

Eintracht Frankfurt Home Trends

• ●Recent 11 Home Bundesliga Matches: 82% Undefeated (9 matches)
• ●League Clean Sheet in Recent 12 Home Matches: 50%
• ●But Recent 6 Matches: 83% Without a Win
• ●Average Goals Scored: 0.67 goals
• ●vs Borussia Dortmund Recent 6 Home Matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses

Borussia Dortmund Trends

• ●Recent 30 Matches: 87% Undefeated (26 matches)
• ●Recent 4 Matches: Undefeated
• ●Recent 20 Away Matches: 80% Undefeated
• ●Recent 6 Away Matches: 50% Draws
• ●Average Goals Conceded: 0.8 goals

The numbers point to Borussia Dortmund. They are undefeated in 87% of their last 30 matches, and have remained undefeated in 80% of their away matches. But it won't be easy because Eintracht Frankfurt is a team that remains undefeated in 82% of their home matches.

Eintracht Frankfurt (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Trapp
• ●DF: Collins, Koch, Tuta
• ●MF: Buta, Dahoud, Götze, Max
• ●CAM: Dønnum, Bahoya
• ●FW: Knauff

Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Kobel
• ●DF: Schlotterbeck, Süle, Can
• ●MF: Ryerson, Sabitzer, Özcan, Bensebaini
• ●CAM: Brandt, Adeyemi
• ●FW: Guirassy

Predicted Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund win. Probability is 46%.

Both teams have good defenses, so a tight battle is expected in the first half. Goals won't come quickly.

Guirassy is likely to score the opening goal late in the first half or early in the second half. Knauff could create a goal for Eintracht Frankfurt on the counter-attack. But the most realistic scenario is that Borussia Dortmund will score an additional goal and end the game 2-1.

There is also a possibility of Under 2.5 goals. Both teams have good defenses. Eintracht Frankfurt concedes 0.67 goals per game, and Borussia Dortmund concedes only 0.8 goals. Instead of a goal feast, it will be a tense and close match.

For Borussia Dortmund fans, this will be a match to solidify their 2nd place. It could be a disappointing result for Eintracht Frankfurt fans. Getting even 1 point at home would be meaningful.

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