FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart: Bundesliga Match Preview

Mainz's home fortress is under siege as Stuttgart arrives on March 7th at 23:30 in what shapes as a significant contrast in current form. Mainz holds a modest 2W-2D-1L over five matches, but critically struggles at home with just one win in nine games (11% win rate). Stuttgart, conversely, arrives in exceptional form with three wins in five matches and riding a six-match winning streak, while maintaining a respectable 4W-1D-4L away record (44% win rate). The attacking disparity is substantial: Stuttgart averages 2.3 goals per game compared to Mainz's 1.4, creating a clear advantage in offensive potential.

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Recent Form

FSV Mainz 05

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 4D 2L
Goals / Conceded	14 / 13
Streak	4 draws

VfB Stuttgart

Stat	Value
Last 10	6W 3D 1L
Goals / Conceded	23 / 10
Streak	6-game win streak

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Bundesliga Season Record

	FSV Mainz 05 (Home)	VfB Stuttgart (Away)
W-D-L	1-3-5	4-1-4
Win Rate	11%	44%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	FSV Mainz 05	VfB Stuttgart
Goals/Game	1.4	2.3
Conceded/Game	1.3	1.0
Over 2.5	60%	70%
BTTS	70%	60%
Clean Sheet	20%	40%

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Head-to-Head

FSV Mainz 05 Wins	Draws	VfB Stuttgart Wins	Total
6	5	9	20

Recent Meetings

패 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (2025-10-29)

패 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (2025-10-26)

승 FSV Mainz 05 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart (2025-01-25)

역대 전적: 호각세 (6승 5무 9패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
FSV Mainz 05	███████░░░░░░░░░ 46%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 24%
VfB Stuttgart	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 29%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PASS
Odds	3.16 / 3.66 / 2.15
Power Index	FSV Mainz 05 89 vs VfB Stuttgart 83
Pattern	1-3-2 (3838 matches)

Tactical Points

Mainz's Achilles heel is their catastrophic home record: just one win in nine games (11% win rate) reflects a fundamental inability to control matches at their stadium. Averaging 1.4 goals per game underscores offensive vulnerability, while a 0% comeback rate indicates that conceding first essentially seals their fate. The defensive record of 1.3 goals conceded per match further compounds pressure on an already fragile attacking unit.

Stuttgart enters with advantages across the tactical spectrum. Their 2.3 goals-per-game average provides a 0.9-goal surplus over Mainz, while a perfect 100% win rate when scoring first demonstrates devastating clinical finishing. A 1.0-goal-per-game defensive record beats Mainz's 1.3, signaling superior structural solidity. Riding a six-match winning streak with a respectable 44% away win rate, Stuttgart's path to a favorable result hinges on early dominance and quick goal-scoring to activate their first-goal momentum advantage.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 22.1%

2. Pattern: 3838 matches

3. Data: 153+ games

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Bundesliga: FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart Data-Driven Preview