Fulham vs Aston Villa: Premier League Match Preview

Fulham hosts Aston Villa on April 25 at 20:30 in a late-season Premier League fixture that pits contrasting form trajectories against each other. Fulham shows concerning recent metrics: 1W-2D-2L in the last five matches with five goalless performances in the last ten outings, indicating offensive struggles. Aston Villa, by contrast, records 2W-1D-2L in recent form and demonstrates strength through an 89% win rate when scoring first. Although Fulham holds a 27-point power index advantage (108 vs 81), recent inconsistency and drawing patterns could neutralize that gap, setting up a competitive late-season contest.

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Recent Form

Fulham

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	11 / 14

Aston Villa

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 3D 4L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 16

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Premier League Season Record

	Fulham (Home)	Aston Villa (Away)
W-D-L	8-2-5	6-4-4
Win Rate	53%	43%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Fulham	Aston Villa
Goals/Game	1.1	1.2
Conceded/Game	1.4	1.6
Over 2.5	60%	30%
BTTS	50%	60%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

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Head-to-Head

Fulham Wins	Draws	Aston Villa Wins	Total
8	1	11	20

Recent Meetings

패 Fulham 1 - 3 Aston Villa (2025-09-28)

패 Fulham 0 - 1 Aston Villa (2025-05-03)

패 Fulham 1 - 3 Aston Villa (2024-10-19)

역대 전적: 호각세 (8승 1무 11패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Fulham	████████░░░░░░░░ 49%
Draw	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 21%
Aston Villa	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 29%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.72 / 3.53 / 2.46
Power Index	Fulham 108 vs Aston Villa 81
Pattern	1-3-2 (4144 matches)

Tactical Points

Fulham's home record (8W-2D-5L, 53% win rate) shows superiority over Aston Villa's away performance (6W-4D-4L, 43% win rate). However, Fulham's 1.1 goals-per-match average trails Aston Villa's 1.2 GPM, while defensive solidity favors Fulham at 1.4 goals conceded per match versus Villa's 1.6. Fulham's offensive deficiency stands out starkly: five goalless matches in the last ten fixtures reveal a persistent scoring problem. Aston Villa's 89% win rate when scoring first underscores the tactical importance of early game dominance. Head-to-head history (Fulham 8W-1D-11L vs Villa) favors Aston Villa, a metric that may carry psychological weight beyond pure statistical advantage.

Key Factors

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Fulham's Offensive Recovery Window Recent form shows 1W-2D-2L across five matches with five scoreless performances in ten outings—metrics reflecting acute attacking dysfunction. Home record boasts 8 wins, suggesting latent offensive capacity exists. Whether Fulham can exceed its 1.1 goals-per-match average will be pivotal to the match outcome.
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Aston Villa's First-Goal Conversion Rate Villa's 89% win rate after scoring first is decisive; this metric underscores the strategic value of early dominance. With 1.2 GPM, if Villa establishes a lead early, historical data suggests they rarely relinquish it, making opening-phase intensity critical.
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Away Team Defensive Vulnerability Aston Villa concedes 1.6 goals per match, exposing defensive fragility. Fulham's home record of 8 wins provides an avenue to exploit this weakness. The 27-point power index gap favors Fulham, potentially manifesting through sustained attacking pressure on Villa's backline.

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Fulham vs Aston Villa | Premier League Tactical Breakdown