Lecce vs Atalanta: Serie A Match Preview

The Lecce vs Atalanta match on April 6 at 22:00 represents a crucial late-season fixture in Serie A. Lecce is in critical form, recording 1 win and 4 losses over their last 5 matches, while Atalanta displays relative stability with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the same period. The power index gap of 99 points between the teams is substantial, and offensive/defensive metrics (0.8 vs 1.6 goals per match, 1.2 vs 0.8 conceded) reveal clear advantages for Atalanta. In the context of late-season competition and relegation struggles, how both teams' current form translates on the pitch will be decisive.

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Recent Form

Lecce

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 1D 6L
Goals / Conceded	8 / 12
Streak	2-game losing run

Atalanta

Stat	Value
Last 10	5W 4D 1L
Goals / Conceded	16 / 8

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Serie A Season Record

	Lecce (Home)	Atalanta (Away)
W-D-L	4-4-7	4-5-4
Win Rate	27%	31%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Lecce	Atalanta
Goals/Game	0.8	1.6
Conceded/Game	1.2	0.8
Over 2.5	40%	50%
BTTS	40%	60%
Clean Sheet	20%	40%

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Head-to-Head

Lecce Wins	Draws	Atalanta Wins	Total
2	2	7	11

Recent Meetings

패 Lecce 1 - 4 Atalanta (2025-09-14)

무 Lecce 1 - 1 Atalanta (2025-04-27)

패 Lecce 0 - 4 Atalanta (2024-08-19)

역대 전적: Atalanta 우세 (7승 2무 2패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Lecce	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 22%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 22%
Atalanta	█████████░░░░░░░ 56%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Away Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	4.77 / 3.65 / 1.74
Power Index	Lecce 73 vs Atalanta 172
Pattern	2-3-1 (1480 matches)

Tactical Points

Lecce's home record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses (27% win rate) reveals vulnerability even at home, while their recent 2-match losing streak signals serious form deterioration in the late season. The 0.8 goals per match average clearly demonstrates offensive limitations, while conceding 1.2 per match indicates defensive fragility. Conversely, Atalanta maintains a more balanced away record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses (31% win rate), and their 1.6 goals-per-match average represents double Lecce's offensive output. Notably, Atalanta records an 88% win rate when scoring first, suggesting early dominance will likely prove decisive in match outcome. Head-to-head records reinforce this dynamic: Atalanta leads 7 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses across 11 encounters.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 99pts

2. Prob edge: 34.0%

3. Away 1st goal win: 82%

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Serie A Preview: Lecce vs Atalanta Form Guide