Lecce vs Fiorentina: Serie A Match Preview

Lecce host Fiorentina on April 21 at 03:45 KST in a Serie A encounter. Lecce are in poor form, losing four consecutive matches, and their home win rate stands at only 27%. Fiorentina, by contrast, have won two of their last three games and hold a significant power index advantage of 13 points (81 vs 68). In a late-season fixture where positions are being decided, the stark difference in current form between the two sides shapes the narrative of this encounter.

Recent Form

Lecce

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 0D 7L
Goals / Conceded	8 / 16
Streak	4-game losing run

Fiorentina

Stat	Value
Last 10	5W 3D 2L
Goals / Conceded	13 / 10
Streak	2-game win streak

Serie A Season Record

	Lecce (Home)	Fiorentina (Away)
W-D-L	4-4-7	2-4-7
Win Rate	27%	15%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Lecce	Fiorentina
Goals/Game	0.8	1.3
Conceded/Game	1.6	1.0
Over 2.5	50%	50%
BTTS	40%	50%
Clean Sheet	10%	40%

Head-to-Head

Lecce Wins	Draws	Fiorentina Wins	Total
5	3	5	13

Recent Meetings

W Lecce 1 - 0 Fiorentina (2025-11-02)

L Lecce 0 - 1 Fiorentina (2025-02-28)

L Lecce 0 - 6 Fiorentina (2024-10-20)

H2H: 호각세 (5승 3무 5패)

TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Lecce	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 26%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 25%
Fiorentina	████████░░░░░░░░ 49%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Away Win
Grade	PASS
Odds	3.43 / 3.29 / 2.16
Power Index	Lecce 68 vs Fiorentina 81
Pattern	2-3-1 (1483 matches)

Tactical Points

Lecce's attacking output of 0.8 goals per match reflects lower-tier Serie A offensive capacity, while conceding 1.6 per game shows defensive vulnerability. Their home record of 4W-4D-7L yields only a 27% win rate, severely limiting home advantage. Fiorentina maintain 1.3 goals per match—above league average—paired with a stronger defensive record of 1.0 goals conceded per game. However, their away record of 2W-4D-7L (15% win rate) exposes significant away struggles. Head-to-head history over 13 meetings shows a balanced 5-5 record, offering no decisive edge based on fixture history alone. The decisive factor appears to be recent form disparity: Lecce's 1W-4L collapse against Fiorentina's 3W-2D resurgence fundamentally shapes tactical expectations.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 24.1%

2. Away 1st goal win: 67%

3. Pattern: 1483 matches

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Lecce vs Fiorentina: Key Stats & Match Preview