Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus: J1 League Match Preview

Machida Zelvia hosts Nagoya Grampus on June 6 at 15:00 (KST) in a J1 League fixture. Machida Zelvia commands a significant power index advantage (118 vs 66) but has struggled in recent form, posting 1W-2D-2L over the last five matches. Nagoya Grampus, meanwhile, carries a poor away record at 16% win rate and a recent run of 1W-1D-3L, placing them under considerable pressure. Both teams face form concerns, but home advantage and the substantial power differential are likely to shape the contest.

Recent Form

Machida Zelvia

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 12

Nagoya Grampus

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 2D 4L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 14

J1 League Season Record

	Machida Zelvia (Home)	Nagoya Grampus (Away)
W-D-L	9-3-7	3-5-11
Win Rate	47%	16%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Machida Zelvia	Nagoya Grampus
Goals/Game	1.0	1.0
Conceded/Game	1.2	1.4
Over 2.5	30%	50%
BTTS	50%	40%
Clean Sheet	30%	30%

Head-to-Head

Machida Zelvia Wins	Draws	Nagoya Grampus Wins	Total
5	1	2	8

Recent Meetings

D Machida Zelvia 2 - 2 Nagoya Grampus (2026-05-30)

W Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus (2025-11-30)

W Machida Zelvia 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus (2025-03-02)

H2H: Machida Zelvia leads (5승 1무 2패)

Tactical Points

Machida Zelvia maintains a 47% home win rate (9W-3D-7L), which is respectable relative to league standards. Notably, the team records an 82% win rate when not conceding first, highlighting the critical importance of early match control. However, their zero win-rate from behind in the last five matches exposes vulnerability in comeback situations. Nagoya Grampus presents a fragile away profile with 3W-5D-11L, conceding 1.4 goals per match, indicating defensive instability. Both teams score identically at 1.0 goal per game, though Machida's 1.2 goals conceded per match represents a defensive concern. The head-to-head record favors Machida at 5W-1D-2W, which may provide a psychological edge.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 52pts

2. Prob edge: 28.8%

3. Home 1st goal win: 82%

TrendSoccer Prediction

	Probability
Machida Zelvia	████████░░░░░░░░ 51%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 22%
Nagoya Grampus	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 27%

Detail	Analysis
Prediction	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.12 / 3.21 / 3.4
Power Index	Machida Zelvia 118 vs Nagoya Grampus 66
Pattern	1-3-2 (4209 matches)

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J1 League Preview: Machida Zelvia vs Nagoya Grampus Form Guide