Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy: J1 League Match Preview

Machida Zelvia will face Tokyo Verdy on May 13th at 19:00 JST. Machida Zelvia holds a significant advantage with a power index of 118 versus Verdy's 73—a 45-point gap—and maintains a superior all-time record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses. However, both teams are underperforming in recent form: Machida Zelvia recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches, while Tokyo Verdy posted 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, including a two-game losing streak. The interplay between the home team's psychological advantage and the away side's numerical weakness will be central to this encounter.

Recent Form

Machida Zelvia

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 12

Tokyo Verdy

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	7 / 13
Streak	2-game losing run

J1 League Season Record

	Machida Zelvia (Home)	Tokyo Verdy (Away)
W-D-L	9-3-7	3-7-9
Win Rate	47%	16%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Machida Zelvia	Tokyo Verdy
Goals/Game	1.0	0.7
Conceded/Game	1.2	1.3
Over 2.5	30%	30%
BTTS	50%	20%
Clean Sheet	30%	40%

Head-to-Head

Machida Zelvia Wins	Draws	Tokyo Verdy Wins	Total
9	6	5	20

Recent Meetings

D Machida Zelvia 2 - 2 Tokyo Verdy (2026-02-21)

W Machida Zelvia 1 - 0 Tokyo Verdy (2025-07-20)

L Machida Zelvia 0 - 1 Tokyo Verdy (2025-02-26)

H2H: Machida Zelvia leads (9승 6무 5패)

Tactical Points

Machida Zelvia's home environment presents positive signals overall. Their home record stands at 9 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses (47% win rate), but notably, when scoring first, they record an exceptionally high 82% win rate. Conversely, Tokyo Verdy shows a critical weakness on the road with just 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses (16% win rate). Curiously, Verdy's record when scoring first reaches 88%, which is substantial. In terms of offensive output, Machida averages 1.0 goal per match while Verdy averages 0.7, yet goals conceded are nearly equivalent at 1.2 and 1.3 respectively. Despite recent poor form, Machida maintains a numerical advantage, but their zero comeback rate (0%) exposes a critical vulnerability, making early control decisive.

Key Factors

1. Psychological Impact of Opening Goal Machida Zelvia's 82% win rate when scoring first underscores how critical early dominance is. Conversely, their zero comeback rate (0%) means conceding first puts them in an extremely disadvantageous position. Tokyo Verdy's 88% win rate when scoring first suggests that whichever side finds the net first will likely control the match's momentum.

2. Tokyo Verdy's Away Weakness vs. Machida's Home Advantage Tokyo Verdy's 16% away win rate is the worst recorded statistic, contrasting sharply with Machida Zelvia's 47% home win rate. With two consecutive defeats, Verdy must overcome their glaring away weakness through defensive solidity.

3. Power Index Gap of 45 Points The 45-point gap in power index (118 vs. 73) reflects a 33.2% probability edge derived from 4,155-match pattern analysis. This more sophisticated metric suggests Machida Zelvia can expect above-average performance based on objective data.

TrendSoccer Prediction

	Probability
Machida Zelvia	█████████░░░░░░░ 54%
Draw	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 21%
Tokyo Verdy	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 26%

Detail	Analysis
Prediction	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	1.88 / 3.13 / 4.48
Power Index	Machida Zelvia 118 vs Tokyo Verdy 73
Pattern	1-3-2 (4155 matches)

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Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy Preview: J1 League Match Analysis