Mainz vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Bottom-of-the-Table Clash at MEWA ARENA, Opportunity for Gladbach's 5-Game Unbeaten Run

In Bundesliga Round 13, Mainz hosts Borussia Mönchengladbach at MEWA ARENA on December 5th. 18th-placed Mainz (6 points) vs. 12th-placed Gladbach (13 points). A battle for survival for bottom-placed Mainz against the rising momentum of Gladbach's 5-game unbeaten run. A stark contrast between the two teams.

Borussia Mönchengladbach (12th)

• ●12 Matches: 3 Wins, 4 Draws, 5 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 16 Goals Scored, 19 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -3
• ●Points: 13 Points
• ●Average per Match: 1.33 Goals Scored / 1.58 Goals Conceded

Mainz (18th)

• ●12 Matches: 1 Win, 3 Draws, 8 Losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 11 Goals Scored, 23 Goals Conceded
• ●Goal Difference: -12
• ●Points: 6 Points
• ●Average per Match: 0.92 Goals Scored / 1.92 Goals Conceded

Mainz's season is truly disastrous. Only 1 win in 12 matches. Their scoring ability is at rock bottom, and the number of goals conceded is among the highest in the league. They desperately need to escape the relegation zone.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's 5-Game Unbeaten Streak

Unbeaten in their last 5 matches. They're in really good form.

Recent 6 League Matches: 4 Wins, 1 Draw, 1 Loss

• ●Average per Match: 2.17 Goals Scored / 0.83 Goals Conceded

Looking at all competitions:

• ●Recent 6 Matches: 83% Unbeaten (5 Matches)
• ●Recent 10 Matches Overall: 40% Won by a Margin of 2 Goals or More (4 Matches)

Their attacking power has come alive. They're scoring 2.17 goals per game.

Mainz's Endless Decline

They have recorded 1 Win, 2 Draws, and 3 Losses in their recent 6 league matches. They're only scoring 0.67 goals per game. Their scoring ability is truly dire.

Home Record:

• ●Recent 3 Home Matches: 1 Win, 2 Draws
• ●Average per Match: 1.33 Goals Scored

But their long-term home record is disastrous:

• ●Recent 15 Home League Matches: 13 Matches Without a Win (87%)
• ●Recent 12 Home League Matches: 92% Without a Win (11 Matches)
• ●Recent 16 Home League Matches: 8 Draws (50%)

They seem to have forgotten how to win at home. They frequently record draws.

Overall Record:

• ●Recent 11 Matches Overall: 9 Matches Without a Win (82%)
• ●Recent 12 Matches: 7 Losses

Recent 10 Head-to-Head Matches:

• ●4 Wins, 5 Draws, 1 Loss (Mainz's record)

Surprisingly, Mainz is dominant. Gladbach has only secured 1 win in 10 matches. There have been as many as 5 draws.

In the recent 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz has won 2 matches by a margin of 2 goals or more. They have been a strong team against Gladbach.

But the story is completely different based on their current form.

Mainz's 3-4-3

Coach Bo Svensson is in a crisis. They are only scoring 0.67 goals per game. Hollerbach and Onisiwo lead the attack, but support is lacking.

Bell and Widmer lead the central defense, but 23 goals conceded is a really high number. It will be difficult to stop Gladbach's rising momentum.

Gladbach's 4-2-3-1

Coach Gerardo Seoane's team has come alive. They have showcased their attacking power by scoring 2.17 goals per game in their recent 6 matches.

Čvančara is responsible for scoring at the forefront, with Plea and Honorat posing a threat from the flanks. Reitz orchestrates the attack from midfield.

The defense is also stable. 0.83 goals conceded per game is a really good number.

1. Mainz's Lack of Scoring Ability

They are only scoring 0.67 goals per game. Hollerbach needs to demonstrate his finishing ability, but his recent form is not good. It will be difficult to penetrate Gladbach's defense.

2. Gladbach's Attacking Momentum

Their attacking power has come alive by scoring 2.17 goals per game. The performances of Čvančara and Plea are crucial. It shouldn't be difficult to penetrate Mainz's weak defense (23 goals conceded).

3. Home Winless Streak

Mainz has failed to win 13 out of 15 home matches. Gladbach will not miss this opportunity.

analysis Probability:

• ●Borussia Mönchengladbach Win: 48%
• ●Expected Score: 1-2

The algorithm is predicting a win for Gladbach. Their 5-game unbeaten streak, Mainz's home struggles, and the difference in scoring ability all favor Gladbach.

Mainz (3-4-3)

• ●GK: Rieß
• ●DF: Da Costa, Bell, Widmer
• ●MF: Caci, Kohr, Jae-sung Lee, Mwene
• ●FW: Gruda, Hollerbach, Onisiwo

Borussia Mönchengladbach (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Nicolas
• ●DF: Scally, Elvedi, Friedrich, Netz
• ●MF: Weigl, Koné
• ●AM: Plea, Reitz, Honorat
• ●FW: Čvančara

A win for Gladbach is highly likely. They are on a 5-game unbeaten streak, and Mainz has failed to win 13 out of 15 home matches. The difference in scoring ability is also clear.

The predicted score is 1-2, a win for Gladbach. Gladbach will be aggressive away from home and score 2 goals. Mainz will score one consolation goal at home, but it will be difficult to stop Gladbach's win.

In the past, Mainz has been dominant in head-to-head matches, but their current form is completely different. Gladbach is scoring 2.17 goals per game, while Mainz is only scoring 0.67 goals per game.

Gladbach can further solidify their mid-table position with this win. They will continue their upward trend by extending their unbeaten streak to 6 matches. I look forward to the performances of Čvančara and Plea.

Mainz is in a truly desperate situation. It seems difficult to regain the glory of the past when they used to beat Gladbach at home. They need drastic measures to escape the relegation zone.