Newcastle vs Tottenham: Domination at St. James' Park, Spurs Seek Rebound Amidst 3-Match Losing Streak

In Premier League Round 14, Newcastle hosts Tottenham at St. James' Park on December 2nd. 13th-placed Newcastle and 12th-placed Tottenham have similar positions, but Newcastle has been dominant in recent head-to-head matchups. Can Newcastle, on a 3-match winning streak, defeat Tottenham once again at home?

Newcastle (13th)

• ●13 Matches: 5 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 16 goals scored, 15 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +1
• ●Points: 18 points

Tottenham (12th)

• ●13 Matches: 5 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses
• ●Goals For/Against: 20 goals scored, 15 goals conceded
• ●Goal Difference: +5
• ●Points: 18 points

The records are almost identical. Tottenham has a slight edge in scoring. However, the story changes when looking at recent form and home/away records.

Newcastle's Home Dominance

They have achieved a 3-match winning streak in their recent 3 home games. This is a really good run.

Their home record is overwhelming:

• ●Recent 3 Home Games: 2 goals scored / 0.33 goals conceded per game
• ●Recent 12 Home Games: 42% Clean Sheets (5 matches)
• ●Recent 40 Home Games Overall: 32 Undefeated Matches (80%)
• ●Recent 15 Home League Games: 10 Wins (67%)
• ●Recent 21 Home League Games: 8 Matches Won by 2 or More Goals (38%)

It's really difficult to beat Newcastle at St. James' Park. They maintain possession above 51%, and their shots on target are also 5.48 per game.

They have won all of their last 3 league games against Tottenham.

Tottenham's Decline

Their recent record is dismal. They are on a 3-match losing streak.

Overall Competition Record:

• ●Recent 10 Matches: 80% Winless (8 matches)
• ●Recent 7 Matches: 43% Losses by 2 or More Goals (3 matches)
• ●Recent 6 League Matches: 83% Winless (5 matches)
• ●Recent 15 Away League Matches: 60% Losses (9 matches)

Their away record is particularly concerning:

• ●Recent 3 Away Games: 3.67 goals conceded per game (3 consecutive losses)
• ●Recent 3 Away Games: Only 3 shots on target per game
• ●Recent 10 Away Games: 4 Clean Sheets (40% - not bad, but...)

They have scoring ability. They are scoring 1.83 goals per game in their recent 6 matches. However, their defense is collapsing. They are conceding 2.33 goals per game.

In their most recent match (end of October), Newcastle secured a 2-0 win.

Match Details:

• ●Possession: Tottenham 53% vs Newcastle 47%
• ●Total Shots: Tottenham had more
• ●Shots on Target: Tottenham 6 vs Newcastle 3 (out of 10)

Tottenham dominated the game, but Newcastle scored efficiently. Shearer and Voltemaade scored the goals. It was a match that revealed Tottenham's lack of goal-scoring ability.

Newcastle has won all of their last 3 league encounters.

Newcastle's Solid Defense

They are only conceding 0.33 goals per game at home. Thiaw and Burn lead the central defense, and Guimarães controls the midfield.

Voltemaade is responsible for finishing in the front line, and Baas and Elanga attack from the flanks. They play efficient attacking football.

They have many injured players. Botman, Ashby, Wissa, and Trippier are out, and Pope is also doubtful. Ramsdale is likely to guard the goal.

Tottenham's Defensive Instability

They are conceding 3.67 goals per game in their recent 3 away games. This is a really serious level. Romero and Van de Ven need to hold on, but their recent form is not good.

They have attacking power. Richarlison and Kolo Muani play in the front line, and Kudus and Simons support the attack. But if the defense collapses, attacking power is useless.

Maddison is out due to injury. He was in charge of creativity, so it's a shame.

1. Newcastle's Home Efficiency

They score efficiently even when they are behind in possession. Like last time. Voltemaade and Murphy's finishing ability are key.

2. Tottenham's Defensive Stabilization

You can never win with a defense that concedes 3.67 goals per game. Romero's leadership is important. If the defense is stabilized, the attack can decide the game.

3. Midfield Battle

If Guimarães controls the midfield, Newcastle's attack will be wide open. Tottenham's Palhinha needs to stop it, but it won't be easy.

analysis Probability:

• ●Newcastle Win: 38%
• ●Predicted Score: 2-1

The algorithm predicts a narrow victory for Newcastle. Home record, recent head-to-head record, and Tottenham's away struggles are all in Newcastle's favor.

Newcastle (4-3-3)

• ●GK: Ramsdale
• ●DF: Livramento, Thiaw, Burn, Hall
• ●MF: Guimarães, Joelinton, Baas
• ●FW: Murphy, Voltemaade, Elanga

⚠️ Missing Players: Sven Botman, Harrison Ashby, Yoan Wissa, Kieran Trippier, Nick Pope (doubtful)

Tottenham (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Vicario
• ●DF: Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Udogie
• ●MF: Palhinha, Kudus
• ●AM: Gray, Simons
• ●FW: Richarlison, Kolo Muani

⚠️ Missing Player: James Maddison

Newcastle is favored. They are on a 3-match home winning streak and a 3-match winning streak against Tottenham. Tottenham is on a 3-match away losing streak and is conceding 3.67 goals per game.

The predicted score is a 2-1 Newcastle victory. Newcastle will score first in the first half with the power of the home crowd, and build a lead with an additional goal. Tottenham will make up for one goal in the second half, but Newcastle will keep the win in the scenario.

Tottenham needs their defense to come back to life if they want to earn points. But they have conceded 11 goals in their recent 3 away games. It will be difficult to improve suddenly. Creativity will also be weakened with Maddison out.

Newcastle can achieve their 4th consecutive win against Tottenham with this victory. We look forward to another victory at the fortress of St. James' Park. Please pay attention to the performances of Voltemaade and Guimarães.