Nice vs Le Havre: Ligue 1 Match Preview

Nice enters this clash in late-season form deterioration, recording one win and four losses over their last five matches. Le Havre faces an even more dire situation with zero wins in the same span (0W-2D-3L). The April 13 fixture presents both sides with an urgent need to reverse their downward trajectories. While Nice holds a significant power index advantage (99 vs 37, a 62-point differential), their recent poor form introduces considerable uncertainty into the matchup dynamics.

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Recent Form

Nice

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 3D 5L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 20
Streak	2-game losing run

Le Havre

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 3D 5L
Goals / Conceded	7 / 12

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Ligue 1 Season Record

	Nice (Home)	Le Havre (Away)
W-D-L	4-5-4	1-3-8
Win Rate	31%	8%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Nice	Le Havre
Goals/Game	1.2	0.7
Conceded/Game	2.0	1.2
Over 2.5	60%	30%
BTTS	40%	40%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

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Head-to-Head

Nice Wins	Draws	Le Havre Wins	Total
3	0	2	5

Recent Meetings

패 Nice 1 - 3 Le Havre (2025-08-31)

승 Nice 3 - 1 Le Havre (2025-02-16)

승 Nice 2 - 1 Le Havre (2024-12-07)

역대 전적: 호각세 (3승 0무 2패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Nice	██████████░░░░░░ 60%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%
Le Havre	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 16%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	1.9 / 3.33 / 4.18
Power Index	Nice 99 vs Le Havre 37
Pattern	1-3-3 (1544 matches)

Tactical Points

Nice's home record stands at 4W-5D-4L (31% win rate), while Le Havre's away form is critically weak at 1W-3D-8L (8% win rate). Offensively, Nice averages 1.2 goals per match versus Le Havre's 0.7, representing over a 70% advantage in output. Defensive solidity is poor across both teams (Nice concedes 2.0 per game; Le Havre 1.2). The 62-point power index gap reflects long-term quality differential, yet Nice's recent five-game stretch (1W-4L) and poor away record (17% win rate) indicate this advantage has not fully translated into current performance metrics. Le Havre's 83% win rate when scoring first is noteworthy, though their severely limited away conversion opportunities constrain this edge.

Key Factors

1. Le Havre's Critically Weak Away Form Le Havre's 8% away win rate (1W-8L) represents one of the league's poorest standards, providing Nice an inherent home advantage. The 62-point power differential translates to a 44.1% probability edge, further strengthened if Nice establishes an early lead; the data shows home teams scoring first win 75% of the time in this matchup pattern (1544 matches).

2. Both Teams' Unstable Attacking Output Nice's recent two-game losing streak and 1.2 goals per match reflects late-season offensive inefficiency. Le Havre manages only 0.7 goals per match, and while their 83% win rate when scoring first is notable, it underscores their overall inability to generate sufficient chances. Early territorial dominance will likely determine match trajectory.

3. Head-to-Head Record Favors Nice The all-time record (Nice 3W-2L) indicates a favorable pattern for the hosts. Combined with the power index gap, this creates a data-supported advantage structure favoring Nice in this late-season fixture.

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Nice vs Le Havre | Ligue 1 Tactical Breakdown