Nice vs Rennes: Ligue 1 Match Preview

Nice host Rennes in Ligue 1 on March 9 at 01:15 KST. Despite holding a power index advantage of 142, Nice have faltered recently with 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while Rennes bring strong momentum with 3 wins over the same period. The historical head-to-head favors Nice at 11 wins, but the disparity in current form is striking. The home team's 80% win rate after scoring first and Rennes' current winning streak will likely prove decisive in determining the outcome.

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Recent Form

Nice

Stat	Value
Last 10	1W 4D 5L
Goals / Conceded	11 / 18
Streak	5-game losing run

Rennes

Stat	Value
Last 10	5W 1D 4L
Goals / Conceded	14 / 17
Streak	5-game win streak

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Ligue 1 Season Record

	Nice (Home)	Rennes (Away)
W-D-L	4-2-3	3-4-4
Win Rate	44%	27%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Nice	Rennes
Goals/Game	1.1	1.4
Conceded/Game	1.8	1.7
Over 2.5	40%	60%
BTTS	50%	40%
Clean Sheet	10%	30%

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Head-to-Head

Nice Wins	Draws	Rennes Wins	Total
11	5	4	20

Recent Meetings

승 Nice 2 - 1 Rennes (2025-10-26)

패 Nice 0 - 2 Rennes (2025-05-10)

승 Nice 3 - 2 Rennes (2025-01-03)

역대 전적: Nice 우세 (11승 5무 4패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Nice	█████████░░░░░░░ 57%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%
Rennes	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 20%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.86 / 3.48 / 2.37
Power Index	Nice 142 vs Rennes 67
Pattern	1-3-3 (1430 matches)

Tactical Points

Nice's offensive output of 1.1 goals per match is relatively modest, yet they demonstrate strong concentration when scoring first, boasting an 80% win rate. However, their defensive vulnerability is evident with 1.8 goals conceded per match, higher than Rennes' 1.7. Rennes bring decisive finishing at 1.4 goals per match and confidence from their current 3-match winning streak, while their perfect 100% win rate after scoring first underscores the importance of early control. Rennes' away record of 3W-4D-4L (27% win rate) reveals inconsistency on the road, contrasting with Nice's 44% home win rate and suggesting a gap in environmental adaptation.

Key Factors

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Nice's First-Goal Dominance vs Rennes' Early Penetration Nice record an 80% win rate when scoring first, yet Rennes hold a perfect 100% rate in the same scenario. Control within the opening 15-20 minutes is likely to heavily influence the match's trajectory, as both teams demonstrate decisive advantage following an early goal.
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Rennes' Current Momentum vs Nice's Home Advantage Rennes are riding 3 wins from their last 5 matches, while Nice suffer through 0W-3D-2L over the same span. However, Nice's 44% home win rate exceeds Rennes' 27% away win rate by 17 points, suggesting the home environment could mitigate Nice's current form struggles.
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Defensive Stability Gap Nice concede 1.8 goals per match compared to Rennes' 1.7, indicating a 0.1-goal difference in defensive vulnerability. Rennes' recorded 3 goalless performances in their last 10 matches, revealing occasional attacking inconsistency. The convergence of Rennes' solid defense (1.7 GA) with Nice's modest attacking output (1.1 GF) could produce a low-scoring encounter.

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Nice vs Rennes Preview: Ligue 1 Match Analysis