Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Premier League Match Preview

Nottingham Forest hosts Aston Villa on April 12 in the late stages of the Premier League season. Nottingham has recorded a poor run of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches, with a particularly weak home record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses (21% win rate). Aston Villa, despite also struggling with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five outings, maintains a relatively stable away record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses (43% win rate). A 17-point power index gap (Nottingham 64 vs Aston Villa 81) and divergent first-goal effectiveness will be critical in determining the match's outcome.

📊

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 5D 3L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 9

Aston Villa

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 2D 5L
Goals / Conceded	9 / 13

🏆

Premier League Season Record

	Nottingham Forest (Home)	Aston Villa (Away)
W-D-L	3-4-7	6-4-4
Win Rate	21%	43%

📈

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa
Goals/Game	1.0	0.9
Conceded/Game	0.9	1.3
Over 2.5	40%	20%
BTTS	40%	40%
Clean Sheet	50%	30%

⚔️

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest Wins	Draws	Aston Villa Wins	Total
3	4	7	14

Recent Meetings

패 Nottingham Forest 1 - 3 Aston Villa (2026-01-03)

패 Nottingham Forest 1 - 2 Aston Villa (2025-04-05)

승 Nottingham Forest 2 - 1 Aston Villa (2024-12-14)

역대 전적: Aston Villa 우세 (7승 4무 3패)

📈

TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Nottingham Forest	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 33%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 24%
Aston Villa	███████░░░░░░░░░ 44%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Away Win
Grade	GOOD
Odds	2.6 / 3.3 / 2.69
Power Index	Nottingham Forest 64 vs Aston Villa 81
Pattern	1-3-1 (420 matches)

Tactical Points

Nottingham's weak home record stands out as a significant concern. With a 3-7 head-to-head deficit against Aston Villa in their historical matchups, home advantage appears difficult to leverage this time. Notably, Nottingham's ability to stage comebacks in their last five matches stands at just 11%, suggesting that conceding first could place them in an extremely difficult position. While Nottingham scores 1.0 goal per match compared to Aston Villa's 0.9, they also concede 0.9 goals per match versus Aston Villa's 1.3, indicating relative defensive stability. However, Aston Villa's recent vulnerability—three scoreless matches in their last 10 games—is offset by their commanding 89% win rate when scoring first, demonstrating that once they establish attacking rhythm, they tend to dominate proceedings.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 20.0%

2. Away 1st goal win: 72%

3. Pattern: 420 matches

🔒

Premium Analysis

Tactical Analysis · Key Factors · Detailed Predictions

Unlock all analysis content with a premium subscription

Premier League: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Data-Driven Preview