PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: Eredivisie Match Preview

PEC Zwolle hosts NAC Breda on March 22 at 05:00 KST in an Eredivisie match. The home side carries a dominant power index advantage of 96 points over the visitors, yet Zwolle's recent form shows 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. NAC Breda arrives with a concerning away record of 1 win, 4 draws, and 7 losses (8% win rate), coupled with limited comeback capability (11%). The match centers on whether Zwolle's superior quality can overcome their current inconsistency, while Breda seeks to defy their poor away-day statistics.

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Recent Form

PEC Zwolle

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 5D 3L
Goals / Conceded	15 / 14
Streak	4 draws

NAC Breda

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 22

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Eredivisie Season Record

	PEC Zwolle (Home)	NAC Breda (Away)
W-D-L	6-2-4	1-4-7
Win Rate	50%	8%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	PEC Zwolle	NAC Breda
Goals/Game	1.5	1.2
Conceded/Game	1.4	2.2
Over 2.5	50%	60%
BTTS	90%	40%
Clean Sheet	10%	30%

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Head-to-Head

PEC Zwolle Wins	Draws	NAC Breda Wins	Total
8	4	4	16

Recent Meetings

무 PEC Zwolle 2 - 2 NAC Breda (2025-10-18)

승 PEC Zwolle 3 - 1 NAC Breda (2025-05-04)

패 PEC Zwolle 1 - 2 NAC Breda (2024-10-20)

역대 전적: PEC Zwolle 우세 (8승 4무 4패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
PEC Zwolle	█████████░░░░░░░ 57%
Draw	█████░░░░░░░░░░░ 31%
NAC Breda	██░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 12%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.21 / 3.6 / 2.92
Power Index	PEC Zwolle 135 vs NAC Breda 39
Pattern	1-2-3 (499 matches)

Tactical Points

PEC Zwolle records a 50% home win rate (6W-2D-4L) and averages 1.5 goals per match, outperforming NAC Breda's 1.2 goals per game. Critically, Zwolle's 86% win rate when scoring first indicates strong conversion of early advantage into results. However, four consecutive draws in recent form suggest finishing issues, reflected partly in their 1.4 goals conceded per match. NAC Breda's away record stands at just 8% (1W-4D-7L), representing a significant structural weakness. Their 2.2 goals conceded per match reveals defensive fragility on the road. While Breda has claimed 2 wins in their last 5 outings, this inconsistency does not align with the expected dynamics of an away fixture against a home favorite.

Key Factors

1. Home Team's First Goal Win Rate Advantage PEC Zwolle's 86% win rate when scoring first demonstrates strong match completion capability after early advantage. Combined with the 96-point power differential, the likelihood of establishing control following an early goal remains substantial. Despite recent inconsistency, this statistic underscores Zwolle's sustained attacking potential.

2. NAC Breda's Critical Away Record Weakness NAC Breda's away win rate of just 8% (1W-7L) represents their most vulnerable metric. Paired with a 11% comeback ability, the team shows structural difficulty in regaining control once trailing. Their 2.2 goals conceded per match increases the probability of conceding attacking opportunities to the home side.

3. PEC Zwolle's Recent Form Inconsistency Four draws and one loss across the last five matches signals issues beyond temporary underperformance. While 1.5 goals per match is adequate, the concentration of draws reflects diminished finishing execution. Should this pattern persist, the power differential advantage may not fully translate into the expected result.

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PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda: Key Stats & Match Preview