San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Major League Soccer Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes host St. Louis City on August 16 at 11:30 KST. San Jose has recorded 1W-1D-3L over their last five matches, while St. Louis arrives in strong form with 4W-1D-0L. The power rating favors San Jose at 60 versus St. Louis's 56, yet their head-to-head record stands at 2W-0D-6L in favor of St. Louis across eight meetings. Home advantage and the stark difference in recent form will be critical factors in this fixture.

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 3D 4L
Goals / Conceded	20 / 21

St. Louis City

Stat	Value
Last 10	6W 2D 2L
Goals / Conceded	17 / 11

Major League Soccer Season Record

	San Jose Earthquakes (Home)	St. Louis City (Away)
W-D-L	4-2-3	2-3-4
Win Rate	44%	22%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	St. Louis City
Goals/Game	2.0	1.7
Conceded/Game	2.1	1.1
Over 2.5	70%	50%
BTTS	90%	60%
Clean Sheet	0%	30%

Head-to-Head

San Jose Earthquakes Wins	Draws	St. Louis City Wins	Total
2	0	6	8

Recent Meetings

W San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 2 St. Louis City (2026-04-26)

L San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 3 St. Louis City (2025-09-21)

L San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2 St. Louis City (2025-05-31)

H2H record: St. Louis City leads (6W 0D 2L)

Tactical Points

Home Advantage Under Scrutiny San Jose shows a 4W-2D-3L record at home (44% win rate) with an average of 2.0 goals per game offensively. However, they concede 2.1 goals per game, revealing defensive vulnerability. St. Louis has struggled on the road with a 2W-3D-4L record across nine away matches (22% win rate), suggesting their away performance weakness could offset San Jose's home advantage.

Stark Contrast in Recent Form San Jose's 1W-3L run over their last five matches starkly contrasts with St. Louis's four-game winning streak. St. Louis demonstrates a particularly strong metric with an 80% win rate when scoring first, making early game control decisive. San Jose's acknowledged recent poor form amplifies this advantage for the visitors.

Divergent Goal Differential Patterns San Jose operates near parity at 2.0 goals scored versus 2.1 conceded per match, yet their recent three-game slump undermines actual defensive stability. St. Louis maintains a more disciplined structure with 1.7 goals per game while conceding just 1.1, indicating robust defensive organization. This structural difference allows St. Louis to manage away fixtures while minimizing concession risk.

Key Factors

1. Prob edge: 25.9%

2. Pattern: 2746 matches

3. Data: 122+ games

TrendSoccer Prediction

	Probability
San Jose Earthquakes	████████░░░░░░░░ 49%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 28%
St. Louis City	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%

Detail	Analysis
Prediction	Home Win
Grade	PASS
Odds	2.04 / 3.73 / 3.14
Power Index	San Jose Earthquakes 60 vs St. Louis City 56
Pattern	1-3-3 (2746 matches)

🔒

Premium Analysis

Tactical Analysis · Key Factors · Detailed Predictions

Unlock all analysis content with a premium subscription

San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City: Key Stats & Match Preview