Tottenham vs Sunderland: Clash of Draw Streaks

The 12th-placed team meets the 7th-placed team. Looking only at the standings, Sunderland is above. It's an interesting setup. Tottenham is struggling at home, and Sunderland is struggling away. In this match at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on January 4th, who will break the silence first?

Tottenham (12th)

• ●Season Record: 7 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses (19 matches) / Goal Difference: +4
• ●Goals: 1.42 goals per game / Conceded: 1.21 goals per game
• ●Last 6 Matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
• ●Average Goals Scored: 1.17 goals / Average Goals Conceded: 0.83 goals
• ●Shots: 11.5 / Shots on Target: 5
• ●Last 3 Home Matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss
• ●Home Average Goals Scored: 2 goals / Home Average Goals Conceded: 0.67 goals
• ●Home Shots: 15.33 / Shots on Target: 7.33
• ●But Last 15 Home Matches: 80% without a win
• ●Last 20 Home League Matches: 60% losses
• ●Last 10 League Matches: 80% without a win

Tottenham is a peculiar team. They've secured 2 wins in their last 3 home games, but overall, they haven't been able to win in 80% of their last 15 matches. Their scoring ability is also inconsistent. They've only scored 1.17 goals per game in their last 6 matches. They are slightly better at home, scoring 2 goals per game, but there is no consistency.

Sunderland (7th)

• ●Season Record: 7 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses (19 matches) / Goal Difference: +2
• ●Goals: 20 goals (1.05 goals per game) / Conceded: 18 goals (0.95 goals per game)
• ●Last 6 Matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 1 loss
• ●Average Goals Scored: 0.5 goals (Drought!) / Average Goals Conceded: 0.83 goals
• ●Last 6 Away Matches: 5 matches without a win (83%)
• ●Goals Scored in Last 3 Away Matches: 0.33 goals
• ●Goals Conceded in Last 3 Away Matches: 1.33 goals
• ●Last 20 Matches: 16 matches undefeated (80%)
• ●Last 18 Matches: 9 draws (50% draw rate)
• ●Last 10 Matches: 80% without a win

Sunderland is really solid defensively. They only concede 0.95 goals per game. But the problem is the attack. They've only scored 0.5 goals per game in their last 6 matches. It's even worse away from home, with 0.33 goals in 3 matches. Almost no goals. This is why there are so many draws.

Looking at the last 2 matches at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium:

• ●Tottenham: 2 wins (Undefeated!)

Tottenham is doing well against Sunderland at home. They've won 2 games in a row. It's not an easy away game for Sunderland.

Tottenham's Home Turnaround

Manager Ange Postecoglou will have many concerns. They haven't been able to win in 80% of their last 15 home matches. They are likely to play with a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 formation.

Richarlison and Kolo Muani will play upfront, and Kudus will attempt breakthroughs on the flanks. Berghuis and Bentancur will be in charge of the midfield, and Gray will play as a defensive midfielder.

Madison's absence due to injury is a big blow. The lack of a player to distribute creative passes limits the attacking options. Richarlison needs to come alive, but his recent form is poor.

The fact that they are scoring 2 goals per game at home is a hope. They are also taking more than 15 shots. But Sunderland's defense only concedes 0.95 goals per game, so it won't be easy.

Sunderland's Away Endurance

Manager Reggie Le Meur's Sunderland is a defensive team. They are likely to play with a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation.

Brobbey will play as a lone striker, and Adingra and Le Fée will support from the flanks and center. Xhaka will dominate the midfield as a defensive midfielder. Having Xhaka is a big advantage. He's a world-class midfielder.

The problem is the scoring ability. They've only scored 0.33 goals in 3 away matches. Brobbey needs to seize opportunities, but chances themselves won't come often. The realistic goal is to hold defensively and aim for a draw.

1. Goal Drought for Both Teams

This is the key. Tottenham is only scoring 1.17 goals per game, and Sunderland is only scoring 0.5 goals. Even combined, it's only 1.67 goals. It's a game where goals are unlikely to be scored. If the first goal is scored, it could be the winning goal.

2. Xhaka vs Tottenham Midfield

Xhaka is the key to this match. If the experienced world-class midfielder dominates the midfield, Sunderland can control the game. Berghuis and Bentancur need to stop Xhaka, but it won't be easy.

3. Set-Piece Concentration

It's difficult for both teams to score from open play. The only opportunity is set pieces. Tottenham's Romero and Sunderland's Mukiele are threatening in aerial balls. There could be a goal from a corner kick or free kick.

Tottenham Home Trends

• ●Last 15 Home Matches: 80% without a win
• ●Last 20 Home League Matches: 60% losses
• ●Last 10 League Matches: 80% without a win
• ●Last 40 PL Matches: 53% losses
• ●Last 13 Home Matches: 5 matches with a 2+ goal difference win
• ●Last 12 Home Matches Clean Sheets: 5 times
• ●vs Sunderland Last 2 Home Matches: Undefeated

Sunderland Trends

• ●Last 20 Matches: 80% undefeated (16 matches)
• ●Last 18 Matches: 50% draw (9 draws)
• ●Last 10 Matches: 80% without a win
• ●Last 6 Away Matches: 83% without a win (5 matches)
• ●Goals Scored in Last 3 Away Matches: 0.33 goals

Both teams have failed to win in 80% of their last 10 matches. It's a game with a high probability of a draw. It's also important that Sunderland has remained undefeated in 80% of their last 20 matches. They are not an easy team to beat.

Tottenham (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Vicario
• ●DF: Porro, Spence, Romero, van de Ven
• ●MF: Gray, Berghuis, Bentancur, Kudus
• ●FW: Richarlison, Kolo Muani

Sunderland (4-2-3-1)

• ●GK: Lafont
• ●DF: Hume, Alderete, Mukiele, Cirkin
• ●MF: Xhaka, Geertruida, Le Fée, Adingra, Lingard
• ●FW: Brobbey

Predicted Score: Tottenham 0-0 Sunderland

A draw. The probability is 42%.

Both teams lack scoring ability. Tottenham is only scoring 1.17 goals per game, and Sunderland is only scoring 0.5 goals. When these teams meet, goals usually don't come.

Tottenham will take many shots at home, but Sunderland's defense only concedes 0.95 goals per game. It will be difficult to break through. Sunderland will also have counter-attack opportunities, but they've only scored 0.33 goals in 3 away matches. It looks really difficult to score.

Under 2.5 goals seems almost certain. Probably a low score like 0-0 or 1-0 will come out. It will be a boring defensive battle rather than an exciting goal feast.

It could be a disappointing game for Tottenham fans. It would be frustrating if they couldn't beat Sunderland, who are ranked lower, at home. Sunderland fans would be happy with just one point. A draw against Tottenham away from home isn't bad.

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