Tottenham vs West Ham: Seize Victory at Home Against Team Winless in 11 Games
PREVIEWFriday, January 16, 2026·1.4K

Tottenham vs West Ham: Seize Victory at Home Against Team Winless in 11 Games

Tottenham, 14th in the Premier League, faces 18th-placed West Ham at home. Can West Ham, winless in 10 consecutive games, turn things around in the London Derby?

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Football Data Analyst

Tottenham vs West Ham: Seize Victory at Home Against Team Winless in 11 Games

The London Derby at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is crucial for both teams. 14th-placed Tottenham needs to halt their decline, while 18th-placed West Ham desperately needs to escape the relegation zone. In particular, West Ham must break their shocking record of 10 consecutive games without a win.

Team Season Performance

Tottenham (Premier League 14th)

  • Season Record: 21 games, 7 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses
  • Goal Difference: +3 (Balanced attack and defense)
  • Average Goals Scored Per Game: 1.43 goals
  • Average Goals Conceded Per Game: 1.29 goals

West Ham (Premier League 18th)

  • Season Record: 21 games, 3 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses
  • Goal Difference: -21 (Severe level)
  • Average Goals Scored Per Game: 1.05 goals
  • Average Goals Conceded Per Game: Over 2 goals

The goal difference is shocking. The difference between +3 and -21 is 24 goals. West Ham has only managed 3 wins in 21 games and is conceding over 2 goals per game. It's no surprise they're in the relegation zone.

West Ham's Endless Fall

Manager Graham Potter must be deeply concerned.

Recent Form

  • Consecutive Winless Streak: 10 games (All competitions)
  • Last 6 Games: 1 draw, 5 losses
  • Average Goals Scored: 0.83 goals
  • Average Goals Conceded: 2.33 goals

Away Record

  • Recent 15 Away Games Winless: 12 games (80%)
  • Lost by 2 or More Goals: 43% (Of recent 7 losses)

They haven't won in 10 consecutive games. They've lost 5 out of 6 games and are conceding 2.33 goals per game. It's even worse away from home. They've failed to win in 80% of their last 15 away games.

Tottenham's Home Situation

Tottenham isn't in a great situation either.

Recent Form

  • Last 6 Games: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses
  • Average Goals Scored: 0.83 goals
  • Average Goals Conceded: 1.5 goals
  • Recent 12 League Games Lost: 50%

Home Record

  • Recent 3 Games: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss
  • Goals Scored Per Game: 1.67 goals
  • Goals Conceded Per Game: 1 goal
  • Recent 25 Home League Games Winless: 20 games (80%)

They haven't found stability yet under manager Thomas Frank. However, they are slightly better at home. They've scored 1.67 goals per game and conceded only 1 goal in their last 3 home games.

Head-to-Head Record Favors Tottenham

History is on Tottenham's side.

Recent 10 Head-to-Head Matches

  • Tottenham Wins: 5 times
  • Draws: 3 times
  • West Ham Wins: 2 times

Tottenham is clearly ahead. They've won 5 out of 10 games and lost only twice. It will be difficult for West Ham to change this trend with their current form.

Form Comparison: Both Struggling

Tottenham

  • Recent 12 League Games Winless: 10 games
  • Recent 7 Home Games Won by 2+ Goals: 3 games
  • Scoring Ability Maintained at Home

West Ham

  • Recent 10 Games: Winless in All Games
  • Recent 8 Away Games Draw: 4 games
  • Defense Continuously Collapsing

Both are having a hard time, but there's a difference in degree. Tottenham is still scoring at home, while West Ham is completely falling apart.

Predicted Lineups

Tottenham (4-2-3-1)

  • GK: Vicario
  • DF: Porro, Romero, Van de Ven, Spence
  • MF: Xavi Simons, Gray, Palhinha, Tel, Odobér
  • FW: Richarlison

West Ham (4-2-3-1)

  • GK: Areola
  • DF: Walker-Peters, Todibo, Kilman, Scalese
  • MF: Bowen, Fernandes, Magassa, Potts, Paqueta
  • FW: Wilson

Both teams use 4-2-3-1. It will be a mirror matchup. The key will be who wins the midfield battle.

Match Analysis

Here's the analysis from the analysis model.

  • Tottenham Win Probability: 47%
  • Predicted Score: 2-1

Predicted Score: Tottenham 2-1 West Ham

Tottenham is most likely to win. 47% is close to a majority probability. Considering the head-to-head record, home advantage, and West Ham's abysmal defense, it's an obvious result.

If Tottenham scores first in the first half, the game will become easier. Because West Ham has to come out, counter-attack spaces will open up. It's realistic to expect Tottenham to score an additional goal in the second half and West Ham to score a consolation goal at the end.

If West Ham wants to pull off an upset, early defense is crucial. They need to hold on at 0-0 and aim for a set-piece or counter-attack. However, it's questionable whether a team that hasn't won in 10 consecutive games can maintain that level of concentration for 90 minutes.

For Tottenham fans, this is a must-win game. Having lost half of their 12 games, if they fail to beat the 18th-placed team at home, the season could become even more twisted. It's also an important game for Frank.

Hashtags

#PremierLeague #Tottenham #WestHam #LondonDerby #MatchPreview #BritishFootball

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