Toulouse vs Lens: The Race for 7 Consecutive Wins

6 consecutive wins. Lens is dominating Ligue 1. They are in 1st place with 12 wins out of 16 games. Can Lens achieve their 7th consecutive win in this match at the Stadium de Toulouse on January 2nd? It doesn't look easy as Toulouse is struggling to score at home.

Toulouse

• ●Last 6 games: 2 wins 3 draws 1 loss
• ●Average goals scored: 1.17 goals / Average goals conceded: 0.67 goals
• ●Goals scored in the last 3 home games: 0.33 goals (Drought!)
• ●Clean sheets in the last 3 home games: 2 times (67%)
• ●Last 8 games: 50% draws (4 draws)
• ●Last 6 home games: 50% draws
• ●Last 10 home games: 80% undefeated

Toulouse is a strange team. Their defense is good, but their attack isn't. They've only scored 0.33 goals per game in their last 3 home games. That's almost no goals. But they've recorded two clean sheets. They have a style of defending and grinding out draws.

Lens (1st Place)

• ●Season record: 12 wins (16 games) / Goal difference: +15
• ●Last 6 games: 6 consecutive wins!
• ●Average goals scored: 2.33 goals / Average goals conceded: 0.5 goals
• ●Shots on target: 6.67 / Possession: 55% or more
• ●Last 15 away games: Win rate of 50% or higher
• ●Last 11 away games: 82% undefeated
• ●Last 7 games: 3 games won by 2 goals or more

Lens is scary. 6 consecutive wins and a goal difference of +15. They're scoring 2.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.5 goals. Their attack and defense are both top-tier in the league. They are also undefeated in 82% of their last 11 away games. They are currently the hottest team in French football.

When they met in May 2025, they drew 1-1.

• ●Possession: Lens 60% vs Toulouse 40%
• ●Shots: Lens 12 vs Toulouse 9
• ●Shots on Target: Toulouse 5 vs Lens 2
• ●Goalscorers: Gbobo (Toulouse), El Aynaoui (Lens)

It was an interesting game. Lens dominated with 60% possession, but Toulouse had more shots on target with 5 to 2. Gbobo scored the opening goal, and El Aynaoui scored the equalizer. It was a game that showed Toulouse can fight efficiently.

Toulouse's last 3 home games vs Lens: Toulouse 2 losses

Toulouse's Home Resistance

Coach Carles Martinez Novell will have a lot to think about. They are not scoring goals at home. They are likely to play defensively in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Emerson will play as the lone striker, with Gbobo and Hidalgo supporting him from behind. Caceres and Bosa will be responsible for the midfield, and Sidibe and Metalie will take charge of the flanks as wing-backs.

Scoring only 0.33 goals per game at home is a serious problem. But they have recorded two clean sheets, so their defense is decent. They need to withstand Lens' attack and aim for a counterattack.

Lens' Away Domination

Will Still's Lens is strong everywhere. They are likely to play offensively in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Edouard will play as the lone striker, with Thaubin and Wesley Said supporting him from the flanks. Thomasson and Boulatovitch will be responsible for the midfield, and Aguilar and Oudol will join the attack as wing-backs.

They are full of confidence after winning 6 consecutive games. They are scoring 2.33 goals per game while conceding only 0.5 goals. It seems very difficult for the Toulouse defense to withstand the pressure for 90 minutes.

1. Toulouse's Goal Drought

This is the key. Toulouse is only scoring 0.33 goals per game at home. It's even harder because Lens is a team that only concedes 0.5 goals per game. Gbobo and Hidalgo need to take advantage of opportunities, but there won't be many chances.

2. Lens' Pressure

Lens is a team that dominates possession with 55% or more and presses their opponents. Toulouse will have a hard time getting the ball. Focusing on defense will quickly drain their stamina. If there is a gap in the second half, Lens will break through.

3. Focus on Set Pieces

It's difficult for Toulouse to score in open play. Their only chance is from set pieces. Creswell and MacKenzie need to aim for aerial balls from corners or free kicks. Lens' defense isn't perfect either, so there could be a goal.

Toulouse Home Trends

• ●Last 10 home games: 80% undefeated
• ●Last 6 home games: 50% draws
• ●Clean sheets in the last 3 home games: 67%
• ●But goals scored in the last 3 home games: 0.33 goals
• ●Last 3 home games vs Lens: 2 losses

Lens Trends

• ●Last 6 games: 6 consecutive wins!
• ●Last 11 away games: 82% undefeated
• ●Last 15 away games: Win rate of 50% or higher
• ●Last 7 games: 3 games won by 2 goals or more
• ●Average goals conceded: 0.5 goals (Last 6 games)

Lens has a overwhelming advantage. They are on a 6-game winning streak and are undefeated in 82% of their last 11 away games. Toulouse doesn't lose easily at home, but it's hard to win if they can't score.

Toulouse (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Restes
• ●DF: MacKenzie, Creswell, Nicolaisen
• ●MF: Sidibe, Bosa, Caceres, Metalie
• ●CAM: Gbobo, Hidalgo
• ●FW: Emerson

Lens (3-4-2-1)

• ●GK: Liser
• ●DF: Ganiou, Baidou, Sarr
• ●MF: Aguilar, Boulatovitch, Thomasson, Oudol
• ●CAM: Thaubin, Wesley Said
• ●FW: Edouard

Predicted Score: Toulouse 0-1 Lens

Lens win. The probability is 56%.

It will be a low-scoring affair. Toulouse will defend defensively at home and aim for a clean sheet. Lens may not be able to break through easily either.

However, Lens is likely to score a goal in the second half. Edouard or Thaubin will play a decisive role. It seems difficult for Toulouse to score an equalizer because they are a team that only scores 0.33 goals per game.

Under 2.5 goals is very likely. Toulouse is good at keeping clean sheets at home, and Lens only concedes 0.5 goals per game. It will be a tense match rather than an exciting goal fest.

Lens fans can look forward to their 7th consecutive win. Toulouse will defend well, but their scoring ability is too weak. Lens is likely to win by one goal.

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