Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli: Bundesliga Match Preview

Union Berlin hosts FC St. Pauli on April 5 at 22:30 in the Bundesliga. Union Berlin has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches, showing instability, while their home record stands at 4W-5D-4L (31% win rate). St. Pauli, meanwhile, are in a downward trend with two consecutive defeats and continue to struggle on the road with a 2W-2D-9L record (15% win rate). In the late season context where both teams need critical results, this fixture carries significant importance.

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Recent Form

Union Berlin

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 2D 6L
Goals / Conceded	8 / 20

FC St. Pauli

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 3D 4L
Goals / Conceded	8 / 13
Streak	2-game losing run

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Bundesliga Season Record

	Union Berlin (Home)	FC St. Pauli (Away)
W-D-L	4-5-4	2-2-9
Win Rate	31%	15%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Union Berlin	FC St. Pauli
Goals/Game	0.8	0.8
Conceded/Game	2.0	1.3
Over 2.5	50%	50%
BTTS	50%	50%
Clean Sheet	20%	30%

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Head-to-Head

Union Berlin Wins	Draws	FC St. Pauli Wins	Total
12	3	5	20

Recent Meetings

승 Union Berlin 1 - 0 FC St. Pauli (2025-11-23)

패 Union Berlin 0 - 3 FC St. Pauli (2025-01-26)

승 Union Berlin 1 - 0 FC St. Pauli (2024-08-30)

역대 전적: Union Berlin 우세 (12승 3무 5패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Union Berlin	█████████░░░░░░░ 59%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 22%
FC St. Pauli	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 19%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.11 / 3.16 / 3.64
Power Index	Union Berlin 137 vs FC St. Pauli 72
Pattern	1-3-3 (1543 matches)

Tactical Points

Union Berlin holds a power index advantage of 65 points (137 vs 72), yet this superiority is not consistently reflected in match outcomes. Their home win rate of 31% is underwhelming, and three goalless performances in their last ten matches indicate offensive instability. With an average of just 0.8 goals per game and a 0% comeback rate, they show severe limitations in attacking potency and recovery capacity when trailing or drawing. Their defensive vulnerability is particularly concerning, conceding 2.0 goals per game on average.

St. Pauli displays extreme weakness on the road, losing 9 of 15 away matches. However, they show a notable strength: a 100% win rate when scoring first. Their defensive record of 1.3 goals conceded per game is more robust than Union Berlin's, suggesting competitive capability despite their recent two-game losing streak. With only a 14% comeback rate, controlling the early game phase will be crucial to determining the outcome.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 65pts

2. Prob edge: 40.1%

3. Home 1st goal win: 79%

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Bundesliga Preview: Union Berlin vs FC St. Pauli Form Guide