Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen: Bundesliga Match Preview

Union Berlin hosts Werder Bremen on March 9 at 01:30 KST in the Bundesliga. Both teams are struggling with identical records over their last five matches: 1W-1D-3L, though Union Berlin is currently on a four-match losing streak. Union Berlin holds a commanding 93-point advantage in Power Index (151 vs. 58) and leads the head-to-head record 6-1-4 across 11 meetings. The contest features a home side desperately seeking to escape its losing run against a visiting team with a particularly weak away record of 11% win rate.

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Recent Form

Union Berlin

Stat	Value
Last 10	2W 4D 4L
Goals / Conceded	10 / 15
Streak	4-game losing run

Werder Bremen

Stat	Value
Last 10	1W 3D 6L
Goals / Conceded	7 / 16

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Bundesliga Season Record

	Union Berlin (Home)	Werder Bremen (Away)
W-D-L	3-4-2	1-3-5
Win Rate	33%	11%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Union Berlin	Werder Bremen
Goals/Game	1.0	0.7
Conceded/Game	1.5	1.6
Over 2.5	40%	40%
BTTS	60%	30%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

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Head-to-Head

Union Berlin Wins	Draws	Werder Bremen Wins	Total
6	1	4	11

Recent Meetings

패 Union Berlin 0 - 1 Werder Bremen (2025-10-24)

무 Union Berlin 2 - 2 Werder Bremen (2025-05-03)

패 Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen (2024-12-21)

역대 전적: 호각세 (6승 1무 4패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Union Berlin	█████████░░░░░░░ 59%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%
Werder Bremen	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 18%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.27 / 3.32 / 3.2
Power Index	Union Berlin 151 vs Werder Bremen 58
Pattern	1-3-3 (1430 matches)

Tactical Points

Union Berlin has recorded a relatively stable 3W-4D-2L (33%) record at home, though their recent four-match losing streak undermines this home advantage. Their 1.0 goals per match is league-average, but conceding 1.5 goals per match suggests defensive stability rather than attacking prowess is the primary concern. Werder Bremen presents an extremely weak away record of 1W-3D-5P (11%), with 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per away match, indicating both offensive and defensive vulnerabilities on the road. The 80% win rate when the home team scores first underscores the critical importance of early goal scoring for Union Berlin.

Key Factors

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Power Index Gap and Head-to-Head Advantage The 93-point Power Index differential and 6W-1D-4L head-to-head record clearly demonstrate Union Berlin's superior quality. Even accounting for their recent form slump, objective strength metrics favor the home side decisively.
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Away Team's Critically Poor Away Record Bremen's 11% away win rate (1W across 9 away matches) ranks among the league's worst, compounded by defensive fragility (1.5+ goals conceded per away game). This points to structural weakness when playing on the road, favoring home dominance.
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Home Team's First-Goal Criticality The 80% Home 1st Goal Win statistic indicates Union Berlin's win probability rises sharply upon scoring first. Overcoming their current four-match losing streak through early goal scoring becomes essential to alleviate psychological pressure.

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Bundesliga: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Data-Driven Preview