Valencia vs Girona: La Liga Match Preview

Valencia hosts Girona on April 26 at 01:30 KST in a crucial late-season La Liga fixture where both teams are competing for vital points. Valencia holds a commanding power index advantage of 121 to Girona's 64, but the home side is struggling with a 1W-1D-3L record over the last five matches. Girona, conversely, shows recent improvement at 2W-1D-2L, creating an interesting contrast between structural superiority and recent form. This matchup combines the home team's statistical dominance with recent volatility—a dynamic worth examining through objective data metrics.

Recent Form

Valencia

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 1D 5L
Goals / Conceded	12 / 12

Girona

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 4D 3L
Goals / Conceded	14 / 12

La Liga Season Record

	Valencia (Home)	Girona (Away)
W-D-L	6-5-3	3-6-5
Win Rate	43%	21%

Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Valencia	Girona
Goals/Game	1.2	1.4
Conceded/Game	1.2	1.2
Over 2.5	30%	50%
BTTS	40%	70%
Clean Sheet	30%	20%

Head-to-Head

Valencia Wins	Draws	Girona Wins	Total
5	1	5	11

Recent Meetings

L Valencia 1 - 2 Girona (2025-10-04)

D Valencia 1 - 1 Girona (2025-03-15)

W Valencia 2 - 0 Girona (2024-09-21)

H2H: 호각세 (5승 1무 5패)

TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Valencia	█████████░░░░░░░ 58%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%
Girona	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 18%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	PICK
Odds	2.09 / 3.4 / 3.49
Power Index	Valencia 121 vs Girona 64
Pattern	1-3-3 (1544 matches)

Tactical Points

Valencia's home record stands at 6W-5D-3L over 14 matches (43% win rate), demonstrating consistent stability at the Mestalla. Conversely, Girona's away record shows vulnerability at 3W-6D-5L (21% win rate), indicating significant struggles in away fixtures. Offensively, Girona averages 1.4 goals per match versus Valencia's 1.2 goals, yet defensive metrics are identical with both conceding 1.2 goals per game. Valencia's Achilles' heel is the recent form collapse (1W-1D-3L in five matches), which in a late-season context poses a confidence concern. Girona's weak comeback ability (14%) and poor away record (21%) suggest the visitors need early control to impose their structure, yet road instability remains a structural disadvantage the data consistently reflects.

Key Factors

1. Power diff: 57pts

2. Prob edge: 40.0%

3. Home 1st goal win: 74%

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La Liga: Valencia vs Girona Data-Driven Preview