VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV: Bundesliga Match Preview

Stuttgart host Hamburg in a Bundesliga clash on April 13 at 00:30 KST, during the high-stakes final stretch of the season. Stuttgart have recorded strong recent form with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last five matches, while Hamburg are struggling with just 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the same period. A 51-point power index gap and Stuttgart's dominant head-to-head record (12 wins, 6 losses) underscore the home side's advantage.

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Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Stat	Value
Last 10	6W 2D 2L
Goals / Conceded	23 / 12

Hamburger SV

Stat	Value
Last 10	3W 4D 3L
Goals / Conceded	15 / 14

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Bundesliga Season Record

	VfB Stuttgart (Home)	Hamburger SV (Away)
W-D-L	9-2-1	2-4-6
Win Rate	75%	17%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Hamburger SV
Goals/Game	2.3	1.5
Conceded/Game	1.2	1.4
Over 2.5	70%	50%
BTTS	50%	80%
Clean Sheet	40%	10%

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Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart Wins	Draws	Hamburger SV Wins	Total
12	2	6	20

Recent Meetings

패 VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 Hamburger SV (2025-11-30)

승 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 Hamburger SV (2023-06-05)

승 VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 Hamburger SV (2023-06-01)

역대 전적: VfB Stuttgart 우세 (12승 2무 6패)

📰 Latest News

Stuttgart: As of April 8, reports indicate Liverpool and Barcelona are tracking an Atalanta-based Italian right-back for potential transfer. No injuries or suspension information directly affecting current squad availability is confirmed.

Hamburg: News items identified contain only tangential information unrelated to the team (third-party commentary on Bayern Munich fixture), with no confirmed injuries, suspensions, transfers, or squad updates directly impacting team performance.

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
VfB Stuttgart	█████████░░░░░░░ 58%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 23%
Hamburger SV	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 19%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	GOOD
Odds	1.4 / 4.89 / 6.67
Power Index	VfB Stuttgart 128 vs Hamburger SV 77
Pattern	1-3-3 (1544 matches)

Tactical Points

Stuttgart's home record stands at 9 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss (75% win rate) across 12 matches, demonstrating strong home-ground advantage. In contrast, Hamburg's away record reads 2 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses (17% win rate), indicating a significant performance dip when traveling. Offensively, Stuttgart average 2.3 goals per match, substantially exceeding Hamburg's 1.5 goals. Defensively, Stuttgart concede 1.2 goals per game, outperforming Hamburg's 1.4 goals conceded. Notably, Stuttgart convert 86% of matches when scoring first, suggesting that early control and opening the scoring will be pivotal to match management.

Key Factors

1. Home Dominance vs Away Weakness Stuttgart's 75% home win rate and Hamburg's 17% away win rate are derived from sample sizes exceeding 12 matches, providing strong statistical reliability. The home side maintains exceptional consistency at this venue, while Hamburg have managed just a single away victory in their recent stretch.

2. Recent Form and Late-Season Context Stuttgart are riding a three-win streak in their last five matches, while Hamburg stand at 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses. With the season in its critical final stages, Stuttgart's upward momentum serves as a push toward further victories, whereas Hamburg face the pressure of needing consecutive wins to rescue their campaign.

3. Clear Attacking Gap The 0.8-goal-per-match differential (2.3 vs 1.5) and 51-point power index gap quantify Stuttgart's superior attacking prowess and overall match quality. If Hamburg adopt their typical cautious away approach, Stuttgart's ability to create scoring opportunities will be further enhanced.

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VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV | Bundesliga Tactical Breakdown