Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg: Bundesliga Match Preview

Werder Bremen hosts FC Augsburg on May 2 at 22:30 in a late-season Bundesliga clash. Bremen holds a significant power index advantage (75 vs. 53, +22 points) and maintains an equal head-to-head record at 9 wins apiece. However, Bremen's recent form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in five matches, while Augsburg recorded just 1 win and 3 draws over the same period. Home advantage and away form disparities will likely prove decisive in this contest.

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Recent Form

Werder Bremen

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 1D 5L
Goals / Conceded	14 / 15

FC Augsburg

Stat	Value
Last 10	4W 3D 3L
Goals / Conceded	15 / 16

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Bundesliga Season Record

	Werder Bremen (Home)	FC Augsburg (Away)
W-D-L	4-4-4	3-1-8
Win Rate	33%	25%

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Key Stats

Based on last 10 matches

Metric	Werder Bremen	FC Augsburg
Goals/Game	1.4	1.5
Conceded/Game	1.5	1.6
Over 2.5	60%	50%
BTTS	60%	70%
Clean Sheet	20%	20%

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Head-to-Head

Werder Bremen Wins	Draws	FC Augsburg Wins	Total
9	2	9	20

Recent Meetings

무 Werder Bremen 0 - 0 FC Augsburg (2025-12-20)

패 Werder Bremen 0 - 2 FC Augsburg (2025-01-19)

무 Werder Bremen 2 - 2 FC Augsburg (2024-08-24)

역대 전적: 호각세 (9승 2무 9패)

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TrendSoccer Analysis

	Probability
Werder Bremen	████████░░░░░░░░ 53%
Draw	████░░░░░░░░░░░░ 26%
FC Augsburg	███░░░░░░░░░░░░░ 21%

Detail	Analysis
analysis	Home Win
Grade	GOOD
Odds	1.93 / 3.76 / 3.6
Power Index	Werder Bremen 75 vs FC Augsburg 53
Pattern	1-3-3 (1550 matches)

Tactical Points

Bremen's home record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses across 12 matches (33% win rate), with 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game—a balanced attacking-defensive profile. Augsburg's away form is considerably weaker at 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses in 12 matches (25% win rate), conceding 1.6 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability. Bremen exhibits notable weaknesses in away performance (15% win rate) and low comeback ability (13%), yet maintains relative stability at home. Augsburg shows attacking stagnation in recent form, with only 1 win and 3 draws across five matches. Both teams display similar offensive output (1.4–1.5 goals per match), but the disparity in home versus away records emerges as the most prominent differentiating factor.

Key Factors

1. Bremen's Home Stability vs. Augsburg's Away Vulnerability Bremen's home win rate of 33% (4 wins in 12 matches) versus Augsburg's away win rate of 25% (3 wins in 12 matches) reflects an 8-point differential. Augsburg's 8 away defeats underscore the disadvantage of playing on the road, making Bremen's home advantage substantial.

2. Power Index Differential's Practical Impact Bremen's power index of 75 exceeds Augsburg's 53 by 22 points, translating to a probability edge of 31.8% based on analysis metrics. This quantification derives from 1,550-match pattern analysis, lending statistical credibility to the evaluation.

3. Momentum Gap Between Recent Forms Bremen has recorded 2 wins in five recent matches, showing partial recovery, while Augsburg registered 3 draws and 1 loss, indicating severe finishing deficiency. Although goals-per-game figures are similar (Bremen 1.4 vs. Augsburg 1.5), Bremen demonstrates superior point accumulation capability in actual results.

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Bundesliga: Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Data-Driven Preview